瑞达期货集运指数（欧线）期货日报-20250812

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - This report does not provide an industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - On Tuesday, the prices of container shipping index (European line) futures mostly declined. The main contract EC2510 closed down 1.48%, and the far - month contracts declined between 1 - 2%. The latest SCFIS European line settlement freight rate index dropped by 2.7% week - on - week. The continuous decline of spot indicators and the decrease in Maersk's new weekly European line spot cabin opening quotes drove the futures prices down [1]. - Trump's tariff policies and China's counter - measures against the EU have increased the uncertainty of global trade, leading to weak demand expectations for the container shipping index (European line) futures, with large price fluctuations. However, the rapid rise of spot - end price indicators may drive the futures prices to rise in the short term. Investors are advised to be cautious, pay attention to operation rhythm and risk control, and track geopolitical, shipping capacity and cargo volume data [1]. 3. Summary According to Related Data Futures Market Data - EC main contract closing price: 1417.600, down 21.3; EC second - main contract closing price: 1742, down 30.4 [1]. - EC2510 - EC2512 spread: - 324.40, up 16.80; EC2510 - EC2602 spread: - 110.40, down 2.10 [1]. - EC contract basis: 817.88, down 71.18 [1]. - EC main contract open interest: 55954 hands, down 734 [1]. Spot Market Data - SCFIS (European line) (weekly): 2235.48, down 62.38; SCFIS (US West Coast line) (weekly): 1082.14, down 47.98 [1]. - SCFI (composite index) (weekly): 1489.68, down 61.06; Container ship capacity: 1227.97 million TEUs, unchanged [1]. - CCFI (composite index) (weekly): 1200.73, down 31.56; CCFI (European line) (weekly): 1799.05, up 9.55 [1]. - Baltic Dry Index (daily): 2051.00, down 13.00; Panama Freight Index (daily): 1635.00, down 21.00 [1]. - Average charter price (Panamax ship): 13075.00, down 218.00; Average charter price (Cape - size ship): 25236.00, down 2232.00 [1]. Economic and Trade News - The Chinese Foreign Ministry responded to US - related trade issues, opposing the politicization, instrumentalization and weaponization of science, technology and economic and trade issues, and hoped to achieve positive results on an equal, respectful and reciprocal basis [1]. - Trump put the Washington DC police under federal direct control, deployed the National Guard, and declared a public safety emergency in Washington DC [1]. - After the US imposed tariffs on most Mexican fresh tomatoes, Mexico set a minimum export price for fresh tomatoes [1]. - Trump signed an executive order to modify "reciprocal tariffs" for dozens of countries, with tariff rates ranging from 10% to 41%, and an additional 40% tariff on goods considered to be transshipped to avoid tariffs [1]. - China imposed counter - measures on EU brandy, medical devices and other categories, intensifying Sino - EU trade tensions [1]. Economic Data - The US S&P Global Composite PMI in June dropped slightly from 53 in May to 52.8, with obvious price pressure [1]. - The US retail sales data in June rebounded unexpectedly, with a month - on - month growth rate of 0.6%, significantly higher than the market expectation of 0.1% [1].