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地方政府债与城投行业监测周报2025年第28期:家庭支持型财政政策连续出台,财政部再次通报六起新增隐债问责案例-20250812
Zhong Cheng Xin Guo Ji·2025-08-12 11:05
  1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided regarding the industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Family - support - oriented fiscal policies are continuously introduced, optimizing the fiscal expenditure structure towards a "people - investment" and "people's livelihood - focused" direction, with potential long - term economic and social benefits [5][8][9]. - The Ministry of Finance has once again reported six typical cases of implicit debt accountability, highlighting the need to strengthen the investigation and accountability of implicit debt and improve the investment and financing mechanisms in key policy - supported areas [10][11][13]. - The process of key provinces "exiting the list" continues, with Inner Mongolia being the first to officially announce its exit, and efforts are needed to consolidate the results and prevent new implicit debts [14]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1. Important News Reviews 3.1.1. Family - support - oriented Fiscal Policies - Since July, family - support - oriented policies such as the implementation plan for child - rearing subsidies and the gradual implementation of free preschool education have been successively introduced. These policies are expected to increase the proportion of people's livelihood expenditure in fiscal expenditure, optimize the central - local expenditure structure, and stimulate consumption and human capital development [5][8][9]. 3.1.2. Ministry of Finance's Report on Implicit Debt Accountability - On August 1, 2025, the Ministry of Finance reported six typical cases of implicit debt accountability, all involving new implicit debts. The new implicit debts occurred relatively recently and were concentrated in policy - supported areas such as urban renewal and high - standard farmland construction [10][11][13]. 3.1.3. Key Provinces "Exiting the List" - Inner Mongolia has officially announced its exit from the list of key provinces with local debt risks. However, it still faces challenges such as high debt ratios in some areas and large temporary fiscal payments, and efforts are needed to prevent new implicit debts [14]. 3.1.4. Early Redemption of Bonds by Urban Investment Enterprises - This week, 32 urban investment enterprises redeemed bond principal and interest in advance, involving 33 bonds with a total scale of 59.14 billion yuan. The enterprises are mainly from the central region, and the majority of the bond issuers have an AA rating [17]. 3.1.5. Cancellation of Bond Issuance - Two urban investment bonds were cancelled this week, with a planned total issuance scale of 17.5 billion yuan. As of August 4, 77 urban investment bonds have been postponed or cancelled this year, with a total scale of 442.26 billion yuan [18]. 3.2. Issuance of Local Government Bonds and Urban Investment Enterprise Bonds 3.2.1. Local Government Bonds - This week, the issuance scale and net financing of local government bonds decreased. The issuance progress of new special bonds exceeded 60%. The issuance interest rate and spread both increased. The weighted average issuance interest rate rose to 1.89%, and the weighted average issuance spread rose to 10.42BP [19]. 3.2.2. Urban Investment Bonds - The issuance scale of urban investment bonds decreased this week, while the net financing scale increased. The issuance interest rate increased, and the spread widened. The overall issuance interest rate was 2.33%, and the issuance spread was 78.73BP. Five overseas urban investment bonds were issued, with a total scale of 33.22 billion yuan [22][23]. 3.3. Trading of Local Government Bonds and Urban Investment Enterprise Bonds - The central bank conducted 1663.2 billion yuan in reverse repurchases this week, with 1656.3 billion yuan in reverse repurchases maturing, resulting in a net investment of 690 million yuan. Short - term capital interest rates generally declined [26]. - This week, the trading scale of local government bond cash bonds decreased by 7.14% to 380.769 billion yuan, and most of the maturity yields declined, with an average decline of 1.50BP. The trading scale of urban investment bonds increased by 2.69% to 277.6 billion yuan, and most of the maturity yields declined, with an average decline of 2.44BP [27]. - There were 16 abnormal transactions of 14 bonds from 14 urban investment entities this week. The number of entities decreased, but the number of bonds and abnormal transactions increased [28]. 3.4. Important Announcements of Urban Investment Enterprises - This week, 50 urban investment enterprises issued announcements regarding changes in senior management, legal representatives, directors, supervisors, etc., as well as changes in controlling shareholders, actual controllers, equity/asset transfers, names, and business scopes [31].