Dongxing Securities·2025-08-12 11:24Economic News - The US and China have agreed to suspend the implementation of mutual 24% tariffs for 90 days starting from August 12, 2025, while retaining a remaining 10% tariff on certain goods [1][1] - The Ministry of Finance and the Central Bank have introduced a personal consumption loan interest subsidy policy effective from September 1, 2025, to August 31, 2026, covering various consumer expenditures [1][1] - The Ministry of Commerce has initiated anti-dumping investigations on imported canola seeds from Canada and halogenated butyl rubber from Canada, Japan, and India, indicating potential trade tensions [1][1] Company Insights - The report highlights that Zhongchong Co., Ltd. (002891.SZ) achieved a revenue of 2.432 billion yuan in H1 2025, marking a 24.32% year-on-year growth, with a net profit of 203 million yuan, up 42.56% [5][6] - The company has expanded its overseas operations, particularly in North America, with significant investments in production capacity, including a new plant in Canada and a factory in Mexico [5][6] - Domestic revenue for Zhongchong Co., Ltd. reached 857 million yuan, a 38.89% increase, driven by a strong performance in its proprietary pet food brands [7][7] Financial Performance - Zhongchong Co., Ltd. reported a gross margin of 31.38% in H1 2025, an increase of 3.41 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin rose to 9.16% [6][6] - The company’s expenses increased, with total expense ratios rising by 3.12 percentage points due to higher marketing and personnel costs [6][6] Investment Outlook - The report maintains a strong buy recommendation for Zhongchong Co., Ltd., forecasting net profits of 449 million yuan, 572 million yuan, and 734 million yuan for 2025 to 2027, with corresponding EPS of 1.53, 1.95, and 2.49 yuan [7][7] - The company is expected to benefit from its overseas supply chain and the growth of its domestic brands, positioning it well for future performance [7][7] Industry Analysis - Huafeng Chemical (002064.SZ) reported a revenue of 12.137 billion yuan in H1 2025, down 11.70% year-on-year, with a net profit of 983 million yuan, a decrease of 35.23% [9][9] - The decline in revenue is attributed to falling prices of key products such as spandex and adipic acid, which have reached historical lows [10][10] - The company is expanding its production capacity in the polyurethane sector, aiming to enhance its competitive edge [11][11] Future Projections - Huafeng Chemical is projected to maintain net profits of 2.133 billion yuan, 2.403 billion yuan, and 2.664 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, with EPS of 0.43, 0.48, and 0.54 yuan [12][12] - The company is focusing on vertical integration by investing in upstream raw material projects to improve cost efficiency [11][11]