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新藏铁路等重大项目逐步落地拉动内需,保障经济行稳致远
Dongxing Securities·2025-08-12 11:19

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the construction and building materials industry [2]. Core Insights - The establishment of the Xinjiang-Tibet Railway Company marks the beginning of the project's implementation phase, which has been in planning since 2008 and is expected to significantly boost domestic demand and ensure stable economic growth [4][5]. - The Xinjiang-Tibet Railway is one of the four major routes into Tibet, enhancing the "Belt and Road" initiative and reducing logistics costs, thereby accelerating economic collaboration among regions [5]. - The project is anticipated to have a total investment of approximately 500 billion, with an average annual investment of around 25 billion over an estimated 20-year construction period, contributing approximately 0.18 percentage points to GDP growth [5]. - The construction of the Xinjiang-Tibet Railway and other major projects will provide a safety net for the economy against external uncertainties, ensuring steady economic development [5][12]. Summary by Sections Project Implementation - The Xinjiang-Tibet Railway project is progressing in an orderly manner, with significant milestones achieved, including the establishment of the railway company and the commencement of preliminary work [4][5]. - The project is classified as an "extreme engineering" challenge due to its high altitude and harsh environmental conditions, necessitating advanced construction techniques [4]. Economic Impact - The implementation of major projects like the Xinjiang-Tibet Railway and the Yajiang Hydropower Station will serve as a driving force for domestic demand, especially in the face of external trade uncertainties [5][12]. - The report emphasizes that the ongoing and future major projects will not only yield long-term economic benefits but also play a crucial role in stabilizing the economy [6][12]. Beneficiary Companies - Companies that are expected to benefit from the Xinjiang-Tibet Railway construction include major railway engineering firms such as China Railway and China Railway Construction, as well as regional construction companies [6]. - The report highlights that construction materials companies, particularly those in the cement sector, will also see positive impacts from the project [6].