英大证券晨会纪要-20250813

Core Viewpoints - The A-share market is currently experiencing a strong upward trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a new high for the year, approaching the previous high of 3674 points from October 8, 2022 [2][9] - Key factors driving the market include the implementation of tariff extension policies benefiting export companies, expectations of liquidity easing due to a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September, and regulatory measures from the China Securities Regulatory Commission to control the pace of new listings [2][10] - The breakthrough of significant resistance levels often relies on the performance of major sectors such as brokerage firms, which can boost overall market sentiment and require sufficient trading volume to support the upward movement [3][10] Market Overview - On Tuesday, the A-share market showed active performance with all major indices opening higher and continuing to rise, with the ChiNext Index gaining nearly 1% in the first half of the day [5] - The semiconductor and AI chip sectors saw significant gains, while the shipping and port sectors also performed well [6][7] - The overall market sentiment was positive, with a total trading volume of 18.815 trillion yuan, indicating a healthy trading environment [6] Sector Analysis - The semiconductor sector is highlighted as a key investment opportunity, supported by national policies and increasing global demand for AI and high-performance computing, with expectations of over 15% growth in the global semiconductor market by 2025 [7][8] - The human brain engineering concept has gained traction following the release of national-level strategic initiatives, marking a significant development in the industry [8] Future Market Outlook - The A-share market is expected to maintain a "slow bull" pattern in the medium term, driven by favorable tariff negotiations, ongoing policy support, and an overall improvement in liquidity conditions [11] - Investors are advised to focus on sectors with high certainty in performance, reasonable valuations, and those benefiting from policy support, while being cautious of overvalued stocks [4][11]