Report Summary Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. Core Viewpoints - The report focuses on the industrial silicon and polysilicon markets, tracking their fundamentals, including futures market data, basis, prices, profits, inventory, and raw material costs [2]. - On August 11, a government - business symposium on the crystalline silicon photovoltaic industry was held in Baotou, with enterprises expressing confidence in the industry and their development in the area [2][4]. - The trend intensity for both industrial silicon and polysilicon is 0, indicating a neutral view [4]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Fundamentals Tracking - Futures Market: For industrial silicon, the Si2511 closing price was 8,840 yuan/ton, down 160 yuan from T - 1. Its trading volume was 520,504 lots, down 141,692 lots from T - 1, and the open interest was 278,860 lots, up 6,917 lots from T - 1. For polysilicon, the PS2511 closing price was 51,800 yuan/ton, down 1,185 yuan from T - 1, the trading volume was 481,809 lots, down 111,013 lots from T - 1, and the open interest was 136,055 lots, down 3,684 lots from T - 1 [2]. - Basis: The industrial silicon spot premium (against East China Si5530) was +600 yuan/ton, up from 95 yuan/ton at T - 1. The polysilicon spot premium (against N - type re - injection) was - 4,800 yuan/ton, down from 1,185 yuan/ton at T - 1 [2]. - Prices: The price of Xinjiang 99 - silicon was 8,800 yuan/ton, up 100 yuan from T - 1. The price of Yunnan Si4210 was 10,000 yuan/ton, unchanged from T - 1. The price of polysilicon N - type re - injection material was 47,000 yuan/ton, unchanged from T - 1 [2]. - Profits: The profit of silicon plants in Xinjiang (new standard 553) was - 2,461 yuan/ton, down 160 yuan from T - 1, and in Yunnan (new standard 553) was - 3,199 yuan/ton, down 160 yuan from T - 1. The profit of polysilicon enterprises was - 16.9 yuan/kg, up 0.4 yuan from T - 1 [2]. - Inventory: Industrial silicon's social inventory (including warehouse receipt inventory) was 54.7 tons, with an increase of 0.7 tons compared to T - 5. Polysilicon's factory inventory was 23.3 tons, with an increase of 0.4 tons compared to T - 5 [2]. - Raw Material Costs: The price of silicon ore in Xinjiang was 340 yuan/ton, unchanged. The price of washed coking coal in Xinjiang was 1,250 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. 2. Macro and Industry News On August 11, the Baotou government held a symposium with 10 crystalline silicon photovoltaic enterprises. Enterprises expressed confidence in the industry and their development in Baotou and were willing to deepen cooperation [2][4]. 3. Trend Intensity The trend intensity of industrial silicon and polysilicon is 0, indicating a neutral market view [4]
工业硅:上游逐步复产,关注市场情绪,多晶硅:关注市场信息扰动
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo·2025-08-13 01:39