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安期货晨会纪要-20250813

Group 1 - The report highlights that the US CPI has increased expectations for interest rate cuts, with the core inflation rate rising to its highest level since the beginning of the year, driven by service prices, while commodity prices have seen moderate increases [8][11] - China Evergrande Group's Hong Kong-listed shares will be delisted, marking the end of an era for the once-prominent real estate developer, which has liabilities of HKD 350 billion and is currently unable to achieve a comprehensive restructuring [8][11] - The report notes that US tariff revenues reached a record high in July, but this did not prevent the budget deficit from widening, indicating ongoing fiscal challenges for the federal government [11] Group 2 - China Unicom reported a 5% increase in net profit to RMB 14.48 billion for the first half of 2025, with a total of approximately 1.208 billion connected users, including 213.5 million 5G package users [12] - Tencent Music's net profit for the second quarter rose by 43.2% year-on-year to RMB 2.409 billion, with total revenue increasing by 17.9% to RMB 8.44 billion [12] - Galaxy Entertainment's interim net profit increased by 19.4% to RMB 5.24 billion, with a revenue of RMB 23.246 billion, reflecting an 8.3% year-on-year growth [12] Group 3 - The report indicates that the global oil market is expected to tighten more than previously anticipated, with OPEC raising its forecast for global oil demand growth due to accelerating demand and slowing supply growth from competitors [11] - The report mentions that the personal consumption loan subsidy policy implemented by China aims to stimulate consumer spending by reducing the cost of consumer credit [11] - The report discusses the performance of various companies, including a significant oversubscription for the public offering of Silver Pharma-B, which was oversubscribed by approximately 5,364 times, attracting around 370 billion in subscriptions [10]