| 25063.71 | 2.79 | -2.21 | | --- | --- | --- | | 8499.53 | 2.31 | -4.65 | | 4830.89 | 2.51 | -12.42 | | 120.06 | -0.60 | -2.75 | | 3881.28 | 1.78 | -2.21 | | 13536.56 | 1.43 | 0.09 | | 4474.72 | 1.28 | -3.35 | | 46124.06 | -0.18 | -4.03 | | 21761.89 | -0.84 | -6.37 | | 6556.37 | -0.37 | -4.22 | | 22636.91 | -0.07 | -7.57 | | 7743.92 | 0.23 | -4.98 | | 9965.16 | 0.72 | 0.34 | 2026年3月25日星期三 ➢ 美伊停火曙光；中投据悉联系美资管机 构。A 股止跌，上证指数涨 1.78%报 3881.28点，深证成指涨1.43%，创业板 指涨0.5%。地面兵装行业全涨。港股高 开反弹 ， 恒 生 指 数 收 涨 2.79% 报 25063.71 ...

2026年3月24日星期二 ➢ 特朗普降级对伊威胁；中国平台企业被 约谈。A股加速下跌，上证指数收跌 3.63%报3813.28点，深证成指跌3.76%， 创业板指跌3.49%。贵金属领跌大盘。 港股暴跌，港股单边下挫，恒生指数收 跌3.54%报24382.47点；恒生科技指数 跌3.28%，恒生中国企业指数跌3.11%。 油气、煤炭开采勉强收涨，其余板块下 挫。大市成交额3686.774亿港元。外盘 方面，欧洲三大股指收盘涨跌不一，美 国三大股指全线收涨，道指涨1.38%报 46208.47点，标普500指数涨1.15%报 6581点，纳指涨1.38%。特朗普暂缓打 击伊朗能源基础设施并宣称已与德黑兰 谈判，尽管伊朗否认对话，但原油期货 重挫、美股强劲反弹。美联储官员表示 利率路径视中东局势而定。 资料来源：彭博 | 24382.47 | -3.54 | -4.87 | | --- | --- | --- | | 8307.82 | -3.11 | -6.80 | | 4712.48 | -3.28 | -14.57 | | 120.79 | 0.82 | -2.16 | | 3813.28 | -3.63 ...

2026年3月23日星期一 | 25277.32 | -0.88 | -1.38 | | --- | --- | --- | | 8574.07 | -1.40 | -3.81 | | 4872.38 | -2.48 | -11.67 | | 119.81 | -1.08 | -2.96 | | 3957.05 | -1.24 | -0.30 | | 13866.20 | -0.25 | 2.52 | | 4567.02 | -0.35 | -1.36 | | 45577.47 | -0.96 | -5.17 | | 21647.61 | -2.01 | -6.86 | | 6506.48 | -1.51 | -4.95 | | 22380.19 | -2.01 | -8.62 | | 7665.62 | -1.82 | -5.94 | | 9918.33 | -1.44 | -0.13 | ➢ 美伊互不相让；美加息预期抬头。A 股大幅下跌，上证指数收跌1.24%报 3957.05点；深证成指跌0.25%，创业 板指涨1.3%。能源金属、光伏设备勉 强收涨。港股继续下跌，香港恒生指 数收跌0.88%报2527 ...

2026年3月20日星期五 ➢ 美伊淡化持久战风险；英欧央行按兵不 动。A股大幅下跌，上证指数跌1.39%报 4006.55点；深证成指跌2.02%，创业板 指跌1.11%。油气开采板块全涨。港股 跳空大跌 ， 恒 生 指 数 跌 2.02% 报 25500.58点，恒生科技指数跌2.19%， 恒生中国企业指数跌1.58%。煤炭、油 气逆势上涨，其余板块下挫。大市成交 额3062.135亿港元。外盘方面，欧洲三 大股指收盘全线下跌，美国三大股指小 幅收跌，道指跌0.44%报46021.43点， 标普500指数跌0.27%报6606.49点，纳 指跌0.28%。英国和欧洲央行按兵不动， 均警示通胀抬头风险，市场提高对央行 升息的押注。以色列和美国试图安抚能 源市场焦虑，内塔尼亚胡称战争将比外 界预期更快结束。 资料来源：彭博 | 25500.58 | -2.02 | -0.51 | | --- | --- | --- | | 8695.88 | -1.58 | -2.44 | | 4996.28 | -2.19 | -9.42 | | 121.12 | 0.17 | -1.90 | | 4006.55 | -1 ...

2026年3月19日星期四 ➢ 联储偏鹰信号；中东能源袭击升级。A 股尾盘翻红，上证指数收涨0.32%报 4062.98点，深证成指涨1.05%，创业板 指涨2.02%。通信板块领涨，航空航天概 念回暖。港股午后大涨，恒生指数收涨 0.61%，报26025.42点；恒生科技指数微 涨0.01%，恒生中国企业指数涨0.1%。半 导体涨幅居前。大市成交额2403.74亿 港元。外盘方面，欧洲三大股指收盘全 线下跌，美国三大股指全线收跌，道指 跌1.63%报46225.15点，创年内新低，标 普500指数跌1.36%报6624.7点，纳指跌 1.46%。美联储如预期按兵不动，点阵图 出现微妙偏鹰转变，鲍威尔首次就去留 做出明确表态。中东冲突升级，以色列 和伊朗轮番打击关键能源设施，国际油 气价格大涨。 | 26025.42 | 0.61 | 1.54 | | --- | --- | --- | | 8835.50 | 0.10 | -0.88 | | 5108.30 | 0.01 | -7.39 | | 120.91 | -0.16 | -2.07 | | 4062.98 | 0.32 | 2.37 | | 141 ...

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Core Insights - The report highlights the significant impact of geopolitical tensions, particularly the conflict involving Iran, on global oil prices and market stability. President Trump's statements suggest a potential resolution to the conflict, which has led to fluctuations in oil prices, with WTI crude oil futures dropping close to $85 [1][11]. - The report also discusses the performance of major stock indices, noting a decline in the Hong Kong market while U.S. indices showed gains, indicating a divergence in market sentiment influenced by international events [1][4]. Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed down 0.67% at 4096.60 points, while the Shenzhen Component fell 0.74% and the ChiNext Index decreased by 0.64% [1][4]. - The Hang Seng Index dropped 1.35% to 25408.46 points, with the Hang Seng Technology Index slightly down by 0.12% and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index down 0.54% [1][4]. - U.S. markets saw the Dow Jones Industrial Average rise by 0.5% to 47740.80 points, the S&P 500 increased by 0.83% to 6795.99 points, and the Nasdaq Composite gained 1.38% [1][4]. Oil Market Dynamics - The report notes that the G7 has committed to releasing strategic oil reserves if necessary, although they have not yet reached that point. This reflects ongoing concerns about energy supply stability amid geopolitical tensions [11]. - The report indicates that the conflict has led to reduced oil production from major producers in the Middle East, impacting global oil supply routes, particularly through the Strait of Hormuz [11]. Company-Specific Developments - CATL (Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Limited) reported a significant increase in net profit, rising by 42% year-on-year to 72.2 billion RMB (approximately $10.4 billion), driven by strong overseas sales and growth in the energy storage sector [11]. - The report mentions that CATL's performance contrasts with that of BYD, which is expected to report its largest quarterly sales decline in five years due to its heavy reliance on the electric vehicle market amid domestic competition [11]. IPO and Market Activity - Zhaowei Electric's shares opened at 78 HKD, a 9.4% increase from the IPO price, with a subscription rate exceeding 1535.76 times, indicating strong investor interest [9]. - Momenta, an autonomous driving company, is reportedly seeking to raise at least $1 billion through a secret IPO application in Hong Kong, highlighting the growing interest in technology-driven companies [9].

Market Overview - Concerns over prolonged conflict in the Middle East have led to a surge in oil prices, with WTI crude surpassing $100 per barrel for the first time since 2022[1] - The US stock market showed mixed results, with the Dow Jones down 0.95% at 47,501.55 points, and the S&P 500 down 1.33% at 6,740.02 points[1] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.38% to 4,124.19 points, while the Shenzhen Component increased by 0.59%[1] Economic Indicators - The US non-farm payrolls unexpectedly decreased by 92,000 in February, raising concerns about a potential stagflation scenario as the unemployment rate rose to 4.4%[12] - Inflationary pressures are expected to complicate the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions, with the market anticipating rates to remain unchanged in the upcoming meeting[12] Oil Market Dynamics - The ongoing conflict has disrupted oil trade routes, particularly through the Strait of Hormuz, leading to reduced production from major oil-exporting countries like Iraq and Kuwait[12] - The Trump administration has initiated a $20 billion maritime reinsurance plan to stabilize oil trade in the region amid rising prices[12] Sector Performance - The chemical sector showed strength, contributing to the overall market rebound in A-shares[1] - The Hong Kong market experienced volatility, with the Hang Seng Index closing up 1.72% at 25,757.29 points, driven by gains in technology and healthcare sectors[1] Corporate Developments - Yanzhou Coal Mining Company sold its 100% stake in Inner Mongolia Xintai Coal for RMB 3.05 billion, which is expected to positively impact its profits in 2026[15] - Longyuan Power reported a 0.73% year-on-year increase in power generation for February, with solar power generation up by 20.67%[15]

Economic Overview - The US economy shows strong data, with the service sector expanding at its fastest pace in nearly four years, as indicated by a service index rise to 56.1, up 2.3 points[1] - ADP reported that US companies added 63,000 jobs in February, the highest since July, indicating a stabilizing labor market[1] Market Reactions - A-shares experienced a gap down, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 0.98% to 4082.47 points, while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext Index dropped by 0.75% and 1.41%, respectively[1] - The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index declined by 2.01% to 25249.48 points, marking a three-day losing streak, with significant pullbacks in oil and gas, shipping sectors, and tech stocks[1] Chinese Economic Outlook - The Chinese government may lower its economic growth target for the year during the upcoming National People's Congress, with economists predicting a fiscal deficit rate of 8%[1] - The meeting will provide insights into China's economic strategies amid global uncertainties, particularly in light of the ongoing Middle East conflicts[1]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index closed down 1.43% at 4122.68 points, while the Shenzhen Component fell 3.07% and the ChiNext Index dropped 2.57%[1] - The Hang Seng Index decreased by 1.12% to 25768.08 points, with the Hang Seng Tech Index down 2.26% and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index down 1.07%[1] - The total market turnover in Hong Kong surged to 370.454 billion HKD[1] Energy Sector - Major oil companies in China saw a collective surge, with energy sectors like oil and gas continuing to rise despite overall market declines[1] - Iraq has reportedly begun shutting down two major oil fields, potentially reducing daily production by approximately 3 million barrels if the crisis in the Strait of Hormuz persists[1][12] Economic Indicators - China's official PMI for February is expected to show continued contraction in both manufacturing and services, with manufacturing PMI projected to drop slightly from 49.3 to 49.1, remaining below the expansion threshold of 50[1][12] - The non-manufacturing PMI is also anticipated to decline from 49.4 to 49.3, indicating a second consecutive month of contraction[1][12] International Developments - The U.S. has committed to providing insurance and naval escort for vessels passing through the Strait of Hormuz, which has led to a reduction in oil price increases[1][12] - The ongoing conflict involving Iran has raised concerns about potential disruptions in global energy supplies, particularly affecting oil transport through the Strait of Hormuz, which accounts for about 20% of global oil shipments[12]