煤焦：盘面震荡偏强，关注限产政策落地

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided 2) Core View of the Report - Short - term market bullish sentiment remains strong, the futures market sees increased positions and rising prices with intensified price fluctuations. Attention should be paid to the previous high pressure in the short term, and cautious participation is recommended [3] 3) Summary by Related Content Market Performance - Yesterday, the coking coal futures price continued to oscillate upward, breaking through the previous high. On the spot side, high - priced resources at some mines had weak sales, and prices declined. The 6th round of coke price increase was blocked, and there was an expectation of price reduction under the influence of environmental protection production - restriction news [2] Production - Restriction News - Regarding the environmental protection production - restriction for the 9.3 parade, the Tangshan production - restriction notice requires independent steel - rolling enterprises to be ready for shutdown from August 16th to 25th according to weather conditions and shut down from the 25th to September 3rd. From August 26th - September 4th, sintering is expected to be restricted by 40% in Tangshan, and blast furnace reduction depends on air quality after the 25th. In the coking industry, it is rumored that Shandong coking enterprises will limit production by 30% - 50% from August 16th, expected to end in early September, but most coking enterprises are currently operating normally [2] Fundamental Situation - The policy of checking over - production in coal mines is advancing, and with the approaching parade in September, the safety supervision situation is severe, so short - term coal mine production is decreasing. The structural inventory pressure of coking coal has been significantly alleviated. Currently, the raw coal inventory of 523 coal mines is 476.5 million tons, a decrease of 224.5 million tons from the high in June; the clean coal inventory is 245.7 million tons, a decrease of 254.3 million tons from the high in June. On the demand side, the raw material replenishment of coking plants and steel mills has slowed down this week. The average daily hot metal output of steel mills last week was 240.32 million tons, a decrease of 0.39 million tons from the previous week and an increase of 8.62 million tons compared with last year [2]