沙特阿美：业绩略超预期，项目按计划推进，回报率与自由现金流表现稳健

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on Saudi Aramco, indicating a favorable performance in Q2 2025 with a net income of $24.5 billion, slightly above consensus expectations [1][2]. Core Insights - Saudi Aramco's Q2 2025 performance exceeded expectations, driven by higher revenues and lower-than-expected costs, with a reaffirmation of its dividend guidance for FY 2025 [1][2]. - The company reported revenues of $108.5 billion, reflecting a slight increase from previous quarters, despite a decrease in upstream segment revenues due to production challenges [2][4]. - Free cash flow for Q2 2025 was reported at $15.2 billion, down from $19.2 billion in Q1 2025, indicating a robust cash generation capability [2][4]. Financial Performance Summary - Net revenue for Q2 2025 was $108.57 billion, a decrease of 5% quarter-on-quarter and 4% year-on-year, but above the consensus estimate of $101.19 billion [4]. - Operating costs were reported at $64.01 billion, showing a 1% increase from the previous quarter [4]. - The upstream segment generated $39.63 billion in revenue, down 16% quarter-on-quarter and 21% year-on-year, while the downstream segment saw a slight increase to $61.23 billion [4]. Project Progress - The company reiterated its capital expenditure guidance for FY 2025, ranging from $52 billion to $58 billion, with key projects like Jafurah and Tanajib on track for completion in Q4 2025 [2][3].