2025年上半年各省经济成绩单：中西部地区快速增长，东部地区韧性仍存

Economic Growth - In the first half of 2025, the GDP growth rate continued the "East low, West high" pattern, with the average GDP growth rate of the eastern region at 5.3%, lagging behind the central (5.5%) and western (5.6%) regions[6] - The top five provinces accounted for 40% of the national GDP, with the top ten provinces making up 61.6%[13] Industrial Performance - The industrial added value in the central and western regions grew by 7.9% and 8.2%, respectively, surpassing the national average of 6.4%[31] - Eastern provinces saw stable industrial growth at 7.1%, supported by rapid development in high-tech manufacturing and digital economy integration[27] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment in the central and western regions outpaced the national average, with a growth rate of 6.6%, exceeding the national level by 3.8 percentage points[40] - Eastern regions experienced a decline in real estate investment, with a drop of 9.7%, significantly impacting overall investment growth[40] Consumption Patterns - The central region led the nation in retail sales growth at 6.2%, while the eastern region lagged behind at 4%, influenced by weak wealth effects and income expectations[49] - Hainan's retail sales surged by 11.2%, driven by tourism and new consumption policies[52] Export Dynamics - The central and western regions achieved double-digit export growth rates of 15.5% and 17.5%, respectively, while the eastern region's export growth was only 1.4% due to intensified US-China trade tensions[60] - Guangdong's exports grew by just 1.1%, significantly below the national average, affected by trade policies and global consumption downturns[60] Import Trends - In the first half of 2025, 21 provinces experienced negative import growth, particularly in the eastern and northeastern regions, with a 5.3% decline in the eastern region[66] - Some provinces in the central and western regions saw positive import growth, driven by resource products, with Anhui and Gansu achieving import growth rates of 13.4% and 30.3%, respectively[66] Future Outlook - Economic growth pressure is expected to increase in the second half of 2025, with the eastern region facing challenges from weak demand and real estate market uncertainties[71] - The central region is anticipated to maintain strong investment demand, benefiting from infrastructure projects and industrial transfers from the east[71]