sntonly(BJ:834599) Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-08-13 12:44Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [6][7]. Core Views - The company is a pioneer in the non-road wide-body dump truck sector, with a solid industry position and a focus on large-scale, electric, and unmanned vehicles driving demand for mining truck replacements [6][7]. - The company has shown impressive revenue growth, with projected revenues of 6.145 billion yuan in 2024 and 6.961 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of 4.9% and 13.3% respectively [2][6]. - The report highlights the significant market potential for electric and unmanned mining trucks, with the market for new energy wide-body dump trucks expected to grow from 1.7 billion yuan in 2023 to 11.2 billion yuan in 2028, representing a CAGR of 45.7% [6][7]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company, established in 2005, is the first in China to develop and manufacture non-road wide-body dump trucks, with products widely used in various mining and large engineering projects [6][16]. - The company has maintained a high revenue growth rate, with a CAGR of 22.4% for revenue and 24.15% for net profit from 2020 to 2024 [26]. 2. Market Trends - The trend towards larger, electric, and unmanned vehicles is reshaping the industry, driven by policy changes and economic efficiency [6][37]. - The report emphasizes that the demand for new energy and unmanned mining trucks is expected to increase, with the market for unmanned mining trucks projected to grow significantly from 2025 to 2030 [9][56]. 3. Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 868 million yuan, 963 million yuan, and 1.087 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively [2][7]. - The report anticipates that the company's revenue will reach 69.61 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 13.3% [7][8]. 4. Competitive Advantages - The company has a strong first-mover advantage in the non-road wide-body dump truck market, with a focus on R&D and collaboration with key partners [6][22]. - The report notes that the company's wide-body dump trucks have a lower unit weight cost compared to traditional mining trucks, making them a more economical choice for mining operations [46][48].