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碳酸锂：拍卖价小幅贴水盘面，区间震荡走势或延续
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo·2025-08-14 01:56

Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core View - The auction price of lithium carbonate is slightly at a discount to the market, and the range - bound trend may continue [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Fundamental Tracking - Futures Data: For the 2509 contract, the closing price is 85,040 yuan, the trading volume is 75,743, and the open interest is 108,394. For the 2511 contract, the closing price is 85,100 yuan, the trading volume is 1,245,424, and the open interest is 392,675. The warehouse receipt volume is 21,679 lots [1]. - Basis Data: The basis of spot - 2509 is - 4,040 yuan, spot - 2511 is - 4,100 yuan, 2509 - 2511 is - 60 yuan, electric carbon - industrial carbon is 2,200 yuan, and spot - CIF is 12,474 yuan [1]. - Raw Material Data: The price of lithium spodumene concentrate (6%, CIF China) is 926 US dollars, lithium mica (2.0% - 2.5%) is 2,030 yuan [1]. - Lithium Salt Data: The price of battery - grade lithium carbonate is 81,000 yuan, industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 78,800 yuan, battery - grade lithium hydroxide (micropowder) is 77,110 yuan, etc [1]. 3.2 Macro and Industry News - SMM's battery - grade lithium carbonate index price is 80,946 yuan/ton, up 2,822 yuan/ton from the previous trading day. The average price of battery - grade lithium carbonate is 81,000 yuan/ton, up 3,000 yuan/ton, and the average price of industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 78,800 yuan/ton, up 3,000 yuan/ton [2]. - On August 13, Albemarle's battery - grade lithium carbonate auction ended. 100 tons of Ronghui Lithium Industry and 100 tons of Yongshan Lithium Industry's lithium carbonate were auctioned, with成交 prices of 85,000 yuan/ton and 84,388 yuan/ton [3]. - Ganfeng Lithium announced that its wholly - owned subsidiary Ganfeng International will jointly develop the Pozuelos - Pastos Grandes salt lake basin in Argentina with LAR [3]. 3.3 Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of lithium carbonate is 0, indicating a neutral trend [3].