HTSC·2025-08-14 07:00Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" [1][10]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of HKD 5.567 billion for 1H25, a year-on-year decrease of 0.09%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was HKD 1.001 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.70%, aligning closely with previous forecasts [7]. - The company declared an interim dividend of HKD 1.408 billion, unchanged from the previous year, representing 100% of the distributable income [7]. - Capital expenditure for 1H25 increased by 8% to HKD 1.482 billion, with a projected average annual capital expenditure of HKD 4.585 billion from 2025 to 2028, indicating a 25% increase compared to 2024 [9][10]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue Forecasts: Expected revenues for the upcoming years are projected as follows: HKD 12.057 billion in 2024, HKD 12.338 billion in 2025, HKD 12.838 billion in 2026, and HKD 12.983 billion in 2027, with growth rates of 5.71%, 2.33%, 4.05%, and 1.13% respectively [6]. - Net Profit Forecasts: The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be HKD 3.111 billion in 2024, HKD 3.342 billion in 2025, HKD 3.420 billion in 2026, and HKD 3.459 billion in 2027, with year-on-year changes of -1.43%, 7.41%, 2.34%, and 1.14% respectively [6]. - Earnings Per Share (EPS): The expected EPS is projected to be HKD 0.35 in 2024, HKD 0.38 in 2025, and HKD 0.39 in both 2026 and 2027 [6]. Capital Expenditure and Development Plans - The company is progressing well with its five-year development plan, including the construction of a gas combined cycle power generation unit with a capacity of 380MW, expected to be operational by 2029 [8]. - The capital expenditure budget for 2024-2028 is estimated to reach HKD 22 billion, with a focus on maintaining high levels of capital investment to support future net profit growth [9][10]. Valuation Metrics - The target price for the company is set at HKD 7.32, based on a price-to-book ratio of 1.30x for 2025E [10]. - The company’s market capitalization is approximately HKD 55.05 billion, with a closing price of HKD 6.23 as of August 13 [3][4].