宝城期货股指期货早报-20250815

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core View of the Report - The overall reference view for financial futures index sectors is "up". The short - term trend of the index is mainly oscillating strongly, and the medium - term trend is "up". Policy - side positive expectations provide strong support, and market sentiment remains optimistic due to high trading volume [1][5] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Variety View Reference - Financial Futures Index Sector - For IH2509, the short - term view is "oscillating", the medium - term view is "up", the intraday view is "oscillating strongly", and the overall reference view is "up". The core logic is that policy - side positive expectations form strong support [1] Main Variety Price Quotation Driving Logic - Financial Futures Index Sector - The intraday view is "oscillating strongly", and the medium - term view is "up". Yesterday, the stock index trends were oscillating and differentiated. IH rose first and then fell, closing slightly up, while IC and IM were weak and closed slightly down. The total turnover of the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing stock markets was 2306.3 billion yuan, an increase of 131.1 billion yuan from the previous day. The high trading volume indicates optimistic market sentiment. In the short term, there may be technical consolidation due to profit - taking needs, but policy - side positive expectations strongly support the index. Anti - involution and consumption - promotion policies are conducive to the recovery of the price index and corporate profit margins, and the positive cycle of the "residential consumption - corporate profit - employee salary" chain. Overall, in the short term, domestic policy - side positive expectations are strong, external risks are temporarily alleviated, and the stock market risk appetite is rising [5]