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中国电信(601728):战略新兴业务增长强劲,股东回报持续优化
EBSCN·2025-08-15 08:06

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both A-shares and H-shares of China Telecom [4][6]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 269.4 billion RMB in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 1.3%. Service revenue was 249.1 billion RMB, up 1.2% year-on-year. EBITDA reached 80.6 billion RMB, growing by 4.9%, and the net profit attributable to shareholders was 23 billion RMB, an increase of 5.5% year-on-year. A mid-term dividend of 0.1812 RMB per share (before tax) was proposed, reflecting an 8.4% increase year-on-year [1][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, mobile communication service revenue was 106.6 billion RMB, up 1.3% year-on-year, with a net increase of approximately 8 million mobile users, bringing the total to 433 million. The mobile ARPU decreased by 0.3 RMB to 46.0 RMB. Fixed-line and smart home service revenue was 64.1 billion RMB, a 0.2% increase year-on-year, with a net increase of about 2 million broadband users, totaling 199 million. The broadband ARPU was 48.3 RMB [2]. Strategic Developments - The company is focusing on upgrading its strategy to "cloud transformation and intelligent benefits," centering around the "Xiangrang" intelligent cloud system. This includes an integrated intelligent cloud service offering "computing power + platform + data + model + application," with a total computing power of 77 EFLOPS. The company has established a data intelligence platform supporting over 20,000 enterprises [3]. Capital Expenditure and Shareholder Returns - Capital expenditure in the first half of 2025 was 34.2 billion RMB, accounting for 12.7% of revenue, a decrease of 5 percentage points year-on-year. The proposed mid-term dividend of 16.58 billion RMB represents 72% of the net profit attributable to shareholders [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The report forecasts net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 35.9 billion RMB, 37.6 billion RMB, and 40.2 billion RMB, respectively. The corresponding P/E ratios for A-shares are projected to be 19X, 18X, and 17X, while for H-shares, they are 14X for all three years [4][5].