集装箱运输市场日报：SCFI欧线降幅扩大-20250815

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. 2. Core Views of the Report - The futures prices of each contract of the Container Shipping Index (European Line) continued to fluctuate. As of the close, except for a slight decline in the EC2604 contract, the prices of the remaining contracts slightly rebounded. Some contracts have reached short - term lows, some short - sellers took profits and left the market, and the trading sentiment was relatively calm. Affected by geopolitical risks, the futures prices continued a slight upward trend. The decline of the SCFI European Line has widened, and it is expected that the EC will generally continue to fluctuate or return to a fluctuating trend. In the medium term, without sudden events, based on fundamental considerations, the overall futures price trend may still be slightly downward [1]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs EC Risk Management Strategy Suggestions - For position management, if one has obtained positions but the shipping capacity is full or the booking volume is poor, and is worried about the decline in freight rates, with a long spot position, one can short the container shipping index futures (EC2510) at 1450 - 1550 to lock in profits [1]. - For cost management, if shipping companies increase the intensity of blank sailings or the market is about to enter the peak season, and they want to book cabins according to order situations, with a short spot position, they can buy the container shipping index futures (EC2510) at 1200 - 1300 to determine the booking cost in advance [1]. EC Basis Daily Changes | Contract | Basis (Points) | Daily Change (Points) | Weekly Change (Points) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | EC2508 | 151.68 | 0.10 | - 12.80 | | EC2510 | 861.88 | - 14.10 | 62.40 | | EC2512 | 472.48 | - 39.70 | - 3.00 | | EC2602 | 705.38 | - 8.70 | 0.30 | | EC2604 | 903.48 | 3.00 | 21.00 | | EC2606 | 747.98 | 7.50 | - 59.38 | [4][6] EC Price and Spread | Contract | Closing Price (Points) | Daily Change Rate | Weekly Change Rate | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | EC2508 | 2083.8 | 0.00% | 0.62% | | EC2510 | 1373.6 | 1.04% | - 4.35% | | EC2512 | 1763.0 | 2.30% | 0.17% | | EC2602 | 1530.1 | 0.57% | - 0.02% | | EC2604 | 1332.0 | - 0.69% | - 1.55% | | EC2606 | 1487.5 | - 0.50% | - 0.20% | [6] | Spread | Closing Price (Points) | Daily Change | Weekly Change | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | EC2508 - 2512 | 320.8 | - 39.8 | 9.8 | | EC2512 - 2604 | 431.0 | 42.7 | 21.2 | | EC2604 - 2508 | - 751.8 | - 2.9 | - 22.1 | | EC2508 - 2510 | 710.2 | - 39.8 | 75.2 | | EC2510 - 2512 | - 389.4 | - 25.6 | - 65.4 | | EC2512 - 2602 | 232.9 | 31 | - 9.2 | [6] Container Shipping Spot Cabin Quotes - On August 28, for Maersk's ships departing from Shanghai to Rotterdam, the total quote for 20GP was $1405, an increase of $15 compared to the previous period, and the total quote for 40GP was $2370, an increase of $30 compared to the previous period [8]. - In mid - to late August, for some sailings of ONE's ships departing from Shanghai to Rotterdam, the opening quote for 20GP was $1634, a decrease of $130 compared to the previous period, and the total quote for 40GP was $2543, a decrease of $200 compared to the previous period [8]. Global Freight Rate Index | Index | Latest Value | Previous Value | Change | Change Rate | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | SCFIS: European Route (Points) | 2235.48 | 2297.86 | - 62.38 | - 2.71% | | SCFIS: US West Route (Points) | 1082.14 | 1130.12 | - 47.98 | - 4.25% | | SCFI: European Route ($/TEU) | 1820 | 1961 | - 141 | - 7.19% | | SCFI: US West Route ($/FEU) | 1759 | 1823 | - 64 | - 3.51% | | XSI: European Line ($/FEU) | 3181 | 3202 | - 21 | - 0.66% | | XSI: US West Line ($/FEU) | 1913 | 1931 | - 18 | - 0.9% | | FBX Comprehensive Freight Rate Index ($/FEU) | 2135 | 2141 | - 6 | - 0.28% | [9] Global Major Port Waiting Times | Port | August 14, 2025 | August 13, 2025 | Daily Change | Same Period Last Year | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Hong Kong Port | 0.538 | 0.486 | 0.052 | 0.437 | | Shanghai Port | 1.780 | 1.386 | 0.394 | 1.365 | | Yantian Port | 0.921 | 1.034 | - 0.113 | 0.869 | | Singapore Port | 1.158 | 0.620 | 0.538 | 0.535 | | Jakarta Port | 1.684 | 1.533 | 0.151 | 2.645 | | Long Beach Port | 1.551 | 1.829 | - 0.278 | 1.562 | | Savannah Port | 1.606 | 1.267 | 0.339 | 1.365 | [16] Speed and Number of Container Ships Waiting at Suez Canal Ports | Ship Type | August 14, 2025 | August 13, 2025 | Daily Change | Same Period Last Year | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8000 + | 15.916 | 15.952 | - 0.036 | 15.988 | | 3000 + | 15.018 | 15.031 | - 0.013 | 15.106 | | 1000 + | 13.37 | 13.295 | 0.075 | 13.59 | | Ships waiting at Suez Canal ports | 13 | 8 | 5 | 7 | [25]