Quectel(SH:603236) HTSC·2025-08-15 11:54Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 124.60 RMB [7][9]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant revenue growth of 39.98% year-on-year for H1 2025, reaching 11.546 billion RMB, and a net profit growth of 125.03%, amounting to 471 million RMB [1]. - The growth is attributed to the company's strategic focus on the Internet of Things (IoT) sector and its transition from a module supplier to a comprehensive IoT solution provider [2][4]. - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery in industry demand and the long-term opportunities presented by edge AI development [1][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company's revenue was 11.546 billion RMB, with a quarterly revenue of 6.325 billion RMB in Q2 2025, showing a year-on-year increase of 47.28% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 21.14% [1][2]. - The comprehensive gross margin for H1 2025 was 17.71%, with a slight year-on-year decrease of 0.43 percentage points [3]. Business Expansion - The company's module and antenna business generated 11.5 billion RMB in revenue for H1 2025, reflecting a 40% year-on-year increase, driven by growth in 5G, LTE, and automotive modules [2]. - The company achieved overseas revenue of 5.3 billion RMB, a 30% increase year-on-year, while domestic revenue reached 6.3 billion RMB, growing by 49% [2]. Market Outlook - The report anticipates a stabilization and recovery in market demand for IoT modules, with expectations for improved trends as downstream demand recovers [4]. - The shift towards edge computing in AI is expected to enhance the value of IoT modules, transitioning their role from mere transmission to "transmission + computation" [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The net profit forecasts for 2025 to 2027 have been revised upwards to 988 million RMB, 1.197 billion RMB, and 1.403 billion RMB, respectively [5]. - The company is assigned a 2025 PE ratio of 33x, reflecting its leading position in the IoT industry, with a target price adjustment to 124.60 RMB [5].