Guoxin Securities·2025-08-16 13:24Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][23]. Core Views - The company reported strong retail growth, with a revenue of 356.7 billion yuan for the quarter, representing a year-over-year increase of 22%. The retail segment alone generated 310.1 billion yuan, up 21% year-over-year, driven by robust performance in self-operated categories and a continuous improvement in operational capabilities [10][11]. - New business revenue reached 13.9 billion yuan, showing a significant year-over-year increase of 199%, although it incurred an operating loss of 14.8 billion yuan primarily due to investments in the food delivery business [2][11]. - The company is focusing on enhancing its system capabilities and deepening e-commerce synergies to drive further growth in gross merchandise volume (GMV) [11]. Revenue Summary - The company achieved total revenue of 356.7 billion yuan, with retail revenue contributing 310.1 billion yuan, and logistics revenue at 51.6 billion yuan, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 17% [10][11]. - The retail business continues to benefit from government subsidies, particularly in the home appliance category, which grew by 23% year-over-year [10][11]. Profitability Summary - The non-GAAP net profit for the company was 7.4 billion yuan, down 49% year-over-year, with a non-GAAP net profit margin of 2.1% [2][11]. - The operating profit margin (OPM) for the retail business was 4.5%, an increase of 0.6 percentage points year-over-year, indicating improvements in procurement costs and supply chain efficiency [11]. Future Outlook - The company has adjusted its revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 to 1,335.4 billion yuan, 1,420.2 billion yuan, and 1,488.7 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting slight upward adjustments [2][23]. - Due to increased losses in the new business segment, the forecast for annual operating losses has been revised from 16.4 billion yuan to 42.7 billion yuan [2][23].