有色金属大宗金属周报：矿价加速上涨，锂价持续回升-20250817

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the non-ferrous metals industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The report highlights that copper prices are experiencing fluctuations due to expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, with domestic copper inventories showing a slight increase [5] - Aluminum prices are expected to remain stable amid rising inventories, while lithium prices are on the rise due to increased demand and supply disruptions [5] - Cobalt prices are anticipated to rise as raw material inventories are expected to be consumed faster due to export bans from the Democratic Republic of Congo [5] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The non-ferrous metals sector has shown a strong performance, with the Shenwan non-ferrous index rising by 3.62%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 1.92 percentage points [11] - The report notes significant price movements in various metals, with copper and lithium showing notable increases [11][20] 2. Industrial Metals Copper - Copper prices have fluctuated, with LME copper up by 0.31% and SHFE copper up by 0.73%. Domestic copper inventories have increased by 5.4% [25] Aluminum - Aluminum prices are expected to remain stable, with SHFE aluminum rising by 0.34% and inventories increasing [36] Lead and Zinc - Lead prices have decreased slightly, while zinc prices have shown minor increases. The report notes changes in inventory levels for both metals [48] Tin and Nickel - Tin prices have decreased, while nickel prices have remained stable. The profitability of nickel enterprises has improved [61] 3. Energy Metals Lithium - Lithium prices have surged, with lithium carbonate up by 15.02% to 82,700 yuan/ton, and spodumene concentrate up by 20.98% to 940 USD/ton [77] Cobalt - Cobalt prices have shown a slight decline domestically, but the report anticipates a potential increase due to supply constraints from export bans [89]