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苏盐井神(603299):优质盐化工区域龙头,盐穴储能价值或显著低估

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is a leading player in the salt industry, focusing on "salt + energy storage," with significant undervaluation of its salt cavern storage value [3] - The company has a stable profit model with low debt and high cash flow, benefiting from the decline in coal prices [3] - The company is expected to achieve substantial performance growth through its salt cavern storage projects and integrated development of salt, alkali, and calcium [3] Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company is a regional leader in salt mining, with a focus on low debt and stable profitability [5][9] - It is controlled by the Jiangsu Provincial State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission [9] Salt Chemical Business - The company develops a circular economy involving salt, alkali, and calcium, with stable pricing for salt products [3][30] - In 2024, the company expects to sell 774,000 tons of salt products, 76,000 tons of alkali products, and 32,000 tons of calcium products [3][30] - The company has a unique underground cyclic soda production technology that enhances resource utilization and environmental safety [3][39] Salt Cavern Utilization - The company is entering the production phase of its gas storage projects, which are expected to contribute to profit growth [3][49] - The company plans to build two major gas storage projects with a total capacity of 81 billion cubic meters by 2030 [3][67] - The Zhangxing gas storage project is expected to generate significant profits, with a projected net profit increase of 4.1 billion yuan by 2030 [3][76] Financial Performance - The company has maintained a net profit of around 7 billion yuan from 2022 to 2025, benefiting from stable pricing and reduced costs [25] - The company's financial health is improving, with a decrease in debt ratios and stable cash flow [25][19] Market Demand - The demand for natural gas storage is increasing, particularly in Jiangsu Province, which has the highest natural gas consumption in China [56] - The company’s gas storage facilities are strategically located to meet the seasonal demand fluctuations in the region [67][49]