连收5根阴线,租赁住房板块跌幅最大
HUAXI Securities·2025-08-17 10:52
- Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - From August 11 - 15, 2025, the CSI REITs Total Return Index closed at 1080.91 points, down 1.49% for the week, with a relatively large correction. The total market capitalization of 73 listed REITs was 217.8 billion yuan, down 1.56% from the previous week. The increase in market risk appetite may reduce the allocation enthusiasm of investment institutions for REITs [1][8]. - In the secondary market, except for the data center sector, all other REIT asset types declined. The rental housing sector had the largest decline of 3.22%, and its cash distribution rate rose 9BP to 2.78% after the correction. It is still worth allocating after the bond market stabilizes and the cost - performance of individual bonds improves [1]. - In the primary market, Shenyang International Software Park and CapitaLand Commercial Assets responded to the exchange's opinions on their initial offerings, and Guotai Junan Dongjiu New Economy REIT responded to the exchange's opinions on its expansion [3][43][45]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Secondary Market 3.1.1 Price: Rental Housing Leads the Decline, with Few Rising Individual Bonds - Except for the data center continuing the new - bond popularity and rising, other asset types of REITs declined. The rental housing sector had the largest decline of 3.22%, becoming the asset with the largest correction since August. After the correction, its cash distribution rate rose to 2.78%. However, attention should be paid to the selling pressure and block trading opportunities of Beijing Affordable Housing, Xiamen Anju, and Shenzhen Anju, whose restricted shares will be lifted at the end of this month [1][15]. - At the individual bond level, only 6 out of 73 REITs rose, and 67 declined. The consumer facilities sector had the smallest decline this week, but only China Resources Commercial of Huaxia was in the green, and other consumer projects had a correction of about 2%. China Resources Commercial, with a market capitalization of over 10 billion yuan, has stable operations and excellent active management capabilities, and is currently promoting two expansions [2][18]. 3.1.2 Liquidity: Trading Activity Continues to Decline - Affected by the high - sentiment in the equity market, the trading activity of REITs continued to decline this week. The average daily trading volume was 496 million yuan, the average daily trading volume was 107 million shares, and the average daily turnover rate was 0.50%, down 16.75%, 19.95%, and 0.13 pct respectively from the previous week [2][26]. - By sector, the sectors with the highest average daily turnover rates this week were energy facilities (0.75%), rental housing (0.66%), and municipal environmental protection (0.61%), but the turnover rates of each sector continued to decline compared with last week [29]. 3.1.3 Valuation: The Overall Decline Leads to an Increase in the Distribution Rate - From the perspective of ChinaBond valuation yields, the energy and transportation infrastructure sectors had the largest changes, rising to 1.48% and 6.03% respectively. The transportation, warehousing and logistics, and industrial park sectors had relatively high valuation yields [38]. - From the perspective of cash distribution rates, the transportation - related projects had the largest change, rising to 9.01%. Affected by the newly listed Huaxia Huadian Clean Energy REIT, the distribution rate of energy - related projects decreased to 7.91%. Among equity - type projects, the industrial park, warehousing, and consumer sectors had relatively high distribution rates, and the average distribution rate of rental housing slightly rose to 2.78% [38]. 3.2 Primary Market 3.2.1 Initial Offerings: Shenyang International Software Park and CapitaLand Commercial Assets Respond to Exchange Opinions - On August 11, CITIC Construction Investment Shenyang International Software Park REIT responded to the exchange's review opinions. The exchange was concerned about issues such as the high proportion of start - up and small - medium - sized enterprises among tenants, the early termination of leases by some top - ten tenants, and the large differences in the occupancy rates of different buildings [43]. - On August 12, Huaxia CapitaLand Commercial Assets REIT responded to the exchange's review opinions. The exchange was concerned about issues such as the pre - emptive right, the incomplete equity restructuring of the two projects, and the project's external borrowing situation [44]. - On August 13, the initial offering inquiry of CICC Vipshop Outlet REIT was completed, with a subscription price of 3.480 yuan per share. The total number of fund shares is 1 billion, and the initial strategic placement, offline initial offering, and public investor initial offering are 700 million, 210 million, and 90 million shares respectively [44]. 3.2.2 Expansion: Guotai Junan Dongjiu New Economy Industrial Park Responds to Exchange Opinions - On August 11, Guotai Junan Dongjiu New Economy REIT responded to the exchange's review opinions. The exchange was concerned about issues such as the concentrated expiration of tenant leases, the project's competitiveness, and the potential impact of future new supplies on the occupancy rate and rent levels [45]. - On August 14, Guotai Junan Lingang Innovation Industrial Park REIT announced that it had received 1.723 billion yuan in funds from its targeted expansion (excluding interest during the fundraising period), equivalent to 388,788,630 fund shares at a price of 4.433 yuan per share [46][47]. 3.2.3 Other Key News This Week - As of August 17, 2025, there are about 7 - 8 potential issuance projects remaining this year, including 1 in the issuance stage, 9 that have received exchange feedback, and 1 that has been accepted by the exchange [44].