Xiangcai Securities·2025-08-17 13:09Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Overweight" [2] Core Views - The brokerage sector has outperformed the market, with the PB valuation recovering to near the median level of the past decade [3][10] - The average daily trading volume in the market has surpassed 20 trillion yuan, indicating a recovery in market activity and potential for continued performance improvement in the brokerage industry [5][30] Market Review - During the week of August 11-15, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.7%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 4.5%, the CSI 300 Index by 2.4%, and the ChiNext Index by 8.6% [10] - The non-bank financial index increased by 6.5%, ranking 3rd among 31 sectors, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 4.1 percentage points [10] - The brokerage index rose by 8.2%, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 5.8 percentage points, with a PB ratio of 1.53x [3][10] - The top five performing brokerages were Changcheng Securities (+36%), Bank of China Securities (+21.8%), Dongfang Caifu (+15.3%), Tianfeng Securities (+12.8%), and Dongwu Securities (+11.3%) [4][10] Industry Weekly Data Brokerage Business - The average daily stock trading volume reached 20,780 billion yuan, a 24.1% increase week-on-week, recovering to levels seen in early November 2024 [5][17] - New fund issuance for stock, mixed, and bond funds was 3.9 billion, 4.9 billion, and 1.2 billion units respectively, with year-on-year changes of +220%, +42%, and -48% for August [21] Investment Banking Business - Three companies conducted equity financing with a total scale of 1.7 billion yuan, a 34% decrease week-on-week [23] - Year-to-date, IPO financing has increased by 68%, and refinancing by 365%, with private placements up by 528% [23] Capital Intermediation Business - As of August 15, the margin trading balance reached 20,552 billion yuan, a 2.3% increase week-on-week, maintaining above 20 trillion yuan for two consecutive weeks [6][25] - The financing balance exceeded 20 trillion yuan, reaching 20,410 billion yuan, with a 1.4% increase [25] Investment Recommendations - With the recovery in market risk appetite and continuous growth in trading volume, the brokerage industry's performance is expected to improve in the third quarter [30] - The report suggests focusing on internet brokerages with strong beta attributes, such as Zhina Compass, as they are likely to attract incremental capital allocation [30]