建筑装饰行业跟踪周报：7月基建投资有所承压，继续关注结构性和区域性机会-20250817

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the construction and decoration industry [1] Core Views - The construction and decoration sector has shown a decline of 0.51% during the week, underperforming compared to the Shanghai Composite Index and the Wind All A Index, which increased by 2.37% and 2.95% respectively, resulting in excess returns of -2.88% and -3.46% [1][20] - Infrastructure investment from January to July has increased by 3.2% year-on-year, but this represents a slowdown of 1.4 percentage points compared to the first half of the year, influenced by fiscal front-loading and adverse weather conditions in July [2][16] - The report highlights that while real estate investment, sales, new starts, and completed areas have all seen significant declines, there is potential for recovery in infrastructure projects, particularly in regions like Xinjiang, Tibet, and Sichuan-Chongqing [3][12] Summary by Sections Industry Investment Rating - The construction and decoration industry is rated as "Overweight" [1] Industry Dynamics Tracking - The National Bureau of Statistics reported that external demand performed better than expected in July, while internal demand showed significant pressure, with retail and investment underperforming [2][16] - Infrastructure investment growth has been primarily driven by railway investments, which increased by 5.9% year-on-year from January to July, while other sectors like road transport and public facilities saw a slowdown [3][12] - The report suggests that the central government's fiscal support could accelerate the implementation of key projects, with a focus on major infrastructure developments [3][12] Recent Market Performance - The construction and decoration sector's performance has been lackluster, with a weekly decline of 0.51%, contrasting with the positive performance of broader market indices [1][20] - Specific companies such as Shanghai Port Bay and Beautiful Ecology have shown notable gains, while others like ST Zhongzhuang have lagged behind [20]