欧林生物（688319）：破伤风疫苗持续放量，金葡菌疫苗即将进入收获期

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company with a target price of 27.09 CNY per share, based on a 17x PS for 2025 [7]. Core Insights - The company focuses on human vaccine research, development, production, and sales, with a strong pipeline including the Tetanus vaccine and the promising Staphylococcus aureus vaccine [1][15]. - The Tetanus vaccine is the core product, contributing nearly 80% of revenue and maintaining a gross margin above 90% [2][23]. - The Staphylococcus aureus vaccine is in phase III clinical trials and is expected to fill a significant market gap if successful [3][4]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has established itself in the human vaccine sector, with a clear focus on both traditional and innovative vaccine development [15]. - It has received multiple accolades, including "National Intellectual Property Advantage Enterprise" [15]. Tetanus Vaccine Market - The Tetanus vaccine market is projected to grow to 2.4 billion CNY by 2030, driven by increasing awareness and supportive policies [2][41]. - The vaccine's sales have shown significant growth, reaching 536 million CNY in 2024, accounting for approximately 91% of the company's revenue [45]. Staphylococcus Aureus Vaccine Development - The company is leading globally in the development of the Staphylococcus aureus vaccine, which addresses a critical need due to rising antibiotic resistance [3][49]. - The vaccine's potential market is vast, with applications expected to expand beyond orthopedic surgeries to other hospital-acquired infections [3][4]. Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are 646.55 million CNY, 712.98 million CNY, and 772.43 million CNY, with respective growth rates of 9.80%, 10.27%, and 8.34% [5][6]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 29.73 million CNY, 44.37 million CNY, and 66.15 million CNY for the same period [5][6]. Research and Development - The company has a robust R&D pipeline, with multiple products in various stages of clinical trials, including the Helicobacter pylori vaccine [4][34]. - R&D expenses have been increasing, reflecting the company's commitment to innovation and development in the vaccine sector [27][28].