CMS·2025-08-17 15:07Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for the metals industry, highlighting the potential for price increases in rare earths and tungsten, as well as cobalt and antimony [2]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes that the current macroeconomic environment, characterized by increased expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, is providing support for metal prices. This environment is expected to drive future price increases [2]. - It notes that many metals are experiencing supply rigidity due to capital expenditures, and the overall low valuations in the sector present investment opportunities [2]. - The report specifically highlights the ongoing upward trends in rare earths and tungsten prices, with cobalt and antimony also expected to see price increases [2]. Industry Overview - The metals industry consists of 235 listed companies with a total market capitalization of 4,944 billion yuan and a circulating market capitalization of 4,594.5 billion yuan [2]. - The report indicates that the non-ferrous metals sector has shown a weekly increase of 3.62%, ranking seventh among various sectors [6]. - The report identifies the top-performing stock of the week as Bo Wei Alloy, which saw a price increase of 39.60%, while the worst performer was Western Gold, which decreased by 5.77% [6]. Price Trends - The report notes that the price of praseodymium oxide has increased by 7.37% due to supply shortages from Myanmar and increased domestic environmental investments [6]. - It also mentions that gold prices have decreased by 1.27% due to reduced demand driven by expectations of interest rate cuts and a stronger dollar [6]. - For base metals, copper inventories have decreased, indicating a tighter supply situation, which is expected to support copper prices in the medium to long term [6][7]. Specific Metal Insights - Antimony ingot prices remain stable at 187,000 yuan per ton, with expectations for future price increases as export orders recover [9]. - The price of black tungsten has risen by 3.3% to 202,000 yuan per ton due to tightening supply conditions [9]. - Lithium carbonate prices have increased by 15.2% for industrial-grade and 15.0% for battery-grade, reflecting strong demand and supply constraints [9].