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交银国际每日晨报-20250818
BOCOM International·2025-08-18 01:32

Group 1: NetEase (NTES US) - The gaming improvement trend for the second half of the year is clear, with new games expected in 2026, leading to a target price increase from $143 to $155, reflecting a potential upside of 19.5% [3] - Q2 2025 results were in line with expectations, with gaming revenue slightly below market expectations but gross margin improvement exceeding expectations [3] - Strong performance of flagship games in July and August indicates a robust recovery in mobile gaming, with a strong year-on-year growth expected in the second half of the year [3] Group 2: NetEase Cloud Music (9899 HK) - The company reported better-than-expected profits for the first half of 2025, leading to a target price increase from HKD 240 to HKD 339, indicating a potential upside of 25.5% [4] - Revenue for the first half of 2025 was HKD 3.83 billion, a year-on-year decline of 6%, primarily due to a decrease in social entertainment revenue, while subscription revenue grew by 15% [4] - Adjusted net profit for the first half was HKD 1.1 billion, exceeding market expectations [4] Group 3: JD Logistics (2618 HK) - The company is experiencing accelerated growth in external integration revenue due to prior investments, with a target price of HKD 18.50, indicating a potential upside of 32.5% [6] - Q2 2025 results met expectations, with revenue driven by the group's food delivery service and profits aligning with forecasts [6] - The company expects continued growth trends in the second half of the year [8] Group 4: JD (JD US) - The company faced higher-than-expected losses in new businesses, but retail revenue and profits are expected to grow by approximately 10% year-on-year in Q3 2025 [9] - The target price remains at $40, reflecting a potential upside of 26.7%, with a focus on improving cross-selling efficiency between food delivery and retail [9] - The company anticipates a narrowing of losses in new businesses by Q4 2025 [9] Group 5: Youdao (DAO US) - The company turned profitable in Q2 2025, focusing on AI and high school education, with a target price of $12, indicating a potential upside of 23% [10] - Revenue growth is supported by strong demand in AI-enhanced high school products and advertising business [10] - The company expects a decline in learning services and hardware revenue but a significant increase in advertising revenue [10] Group 6: Geely Automobile (175 HK) - The company reported a 27% year-on-year revenue increase to RMB 150.3 billion in the first half of 2025, with a net profit growth of 102% to RMB 6.66 billion, exceeding market expectations [11] - The target price is raised to HKD 24.21, indicating a potential upside of 27.8%, driven by improved brand integration and sales growth [11] - The company is expected to benefit from industry trends that reduce price competition, focusing more on configuration and driving experience [11] Group 7: Hesai Group (HSAI US) - The company continues to see high growth in shipments, with a target price of $27.52, indicating a potential upside of 18% [12] - Q2 2025 revenue reached RMB 706 million, with a gross margin of 42.5% [13] - The company expects to achieve a total shipment of 1.4 million units in 2025, with significant growth in ADAS and robotics products [12][13] Group 8: QFIN Technology (QFIN US) - The company achieved a net profit of RMB 1.73 billion in Q2 2025, a year-on-year increase of 25.7%, with a target price of $58, indicating a potential upside of 74.2% [14] - The company is focusing on improving asset quality and enhancing risk control measures [15] - Despite short-term uncertainties from new regulations, the company maintains a strong competitive advantage and attractive valuation [15] Group 9: SF REIT (2191 HK) - The company reported a 1.2% year-on-year revenue increase to HKD 225 million in the first half of 2025, with a target price of HKD 3.84, indicating a potential upside of 25.5% [16] - The overall occupancy rate was 97.5% as of June 2025, with expectations for moderate revenue growth in 2025 [17] - The company anticipates potential rental pressure in 2026 following lease renewals with SF Holdings [17] Group 10: Pharmaceutical Industry - The pharmaceutical sector is expected to see steady growth driven by multiple favorable factors in the second half of 2025, with a focus on high-growth opportunities in biotechnology and prescription drugs [18] Group 11: Internet Industry - E-commerce revenue growth in July 2025 exceeded expectations, with a year-on-year increase of 8.3%, driven by strong performance in communication equipment and home appliances [19] - The industry is benefiting from regulatory measures that promote healthy development and reduce aggressive subsidy strategies [19] - Investment insights suggest that Alibaba's revenue adjustments may offset the impact of flash sales subsidies, while JD's new business investments are expected to stabilize overall profit margins [19]