25Q2银行业监管指标数据点评：净利润增速现拐点，资产质量指标释放更多积极信号

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook for the banking industry, indicating a relative strength compared to the market benchmark index [6]. Core Insights - The banking sector has seen a turning point in net profit growth, with a cumulative year-on-year decline of -1.2% as of Q2 2025, but a quarter-on-quarter increase of +1.1 percentage points, ending a downward trend since Q4 2023 [10][11]. - The total asset growth rate for commercial banks reached 8.9% as of Q2 2025, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of +1.7 percentage points, driven primarily by high growth in bond investments [13]. - The net interest margin slightly narrowed by 1 basis point to 1.42% in H1 2025, with expectations of continued support from improved funding costs [16]. - Asset quality indicators show positive signals, with the non-performing loan (NPL) ratio improving to 1.49% as of Q2 2025, down 2 basis points from the previous quarter [18]. - Capital adequacy ratios have significantly improved, with the core Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio increasing by 24 basis points to reflect better internal capital replenishment capabilities [22]. Summary by Sections Net Profit Growth - As of Q2 2025, commercial banks' net profit growth has shown a quarter-on-quarter improvement across state-owned, joint-stock, and city commercial banks, with respective increases of 1.0, 2.6, and 5.6 percentage points [10][11]. Asset Growth - The total asset growth rate for commercial banks was 8.9% as of Q2 2025, with state-owned banks showing the highest growth at +3.1% [13]. Net Interest Margin - The net interest margin for commercial banks decreased slightly to 1.42% in H1 2025, influenced by a decrease in loan rates [16]. Asset Quality - The NPL ratio for commercial banks improved to 1.49% as of Q2 2025, with a significant reduction in the NPL ratio for rural commercial banks [18]. Capital Adequacy - The core Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio for commercial banks increased by 24 basis points as of Q2 2025, supported by recent capital injections and improved profitability [22]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on high-dividend stocks due to the adjustment in insurance premium rates, recommending banks such as China Construction Bank and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China [27]. Additionally, it highlights mid-sized banks with solid fundamentals, including Nanjing Bank and Jiangsu Bank, as potential investment targets [27].