Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core View of the Report - The polyolefin futures showed narrow - range consolidation. The spot prices of linear LL and拉丝PP from Sinopec and PetroChina remained stable. The market heat has cooled, and the polyolefin spot market is still mainly driven by supply - demand factors. Summer maintenance is in balance, inventory is slowly being digested, and the market is in a stage of stopping decline after a previous rebound. However, short - term petrochemical inventory may fluctuate, and the de - stocking process in summer is tortuous. Fortunately, the domestic macro - level is still driven by domestic demand, and the terminal备货 demand may gradually pick up in mid - to late August. The market should focus on the rhythm of the autumn stocking market after supply - demand digestion and potential changes in the cost side [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - Prices: For LL, the previous day's closing prices for January, May, and September contracts were 7351, 7346, and 7306 respectively, with changes of 8, - 1, and 19 and percentage changes of 0.11%, - 0.01%, and 0.26%. For PP, the previous day's closing prices for January, May, and September contracts were 7084, 7080, and 7058 respectively, with changes of - 1, - 7, and - 8 and percentage changes of - 0.01%, - 0.10%, and - 0.11% [2]. - Volume and Open Interest: The trading volumes of LL for January, May, and September contracts were 185379, 2572, and 67045 respectively, and the open interests were 318815, 16838, and 173330 respectively, with changes of 14919, 834, and - 22825. For PP, the trading volumes for January, May, and September contracts were 175405, 7038, and 52887 respectively, and the open interests were 363357, 25996, and 110716 respectively, with changes of 12810, 2433, and - 15155 [2]. - Spreads: For LL, the current spreads of January - May, May - September, and September - January were 5, 40, and - 45 respectively, compared to previous values of - 4, 60, and - 56. For PP, the current spreads of January - May, May - September, and September - January were 4, 22, and - 26 respectively, compared to previous values of - 2, 21, and - 19 [2]. Spot Market - Raw Materials and Semi - finished Products: The current prices of methanol futures, Shandong propylene, South China propane, PP recycled materials, North China powder, and plastic film were 2415 yuan/ton, 6425 yuan/ton, 562 dollars/ton, 5600 yuan/ton, 6830 yuan/ton, and 8800 yuan/ton respectively. The previous prices were 2437 yuan/ton, 6475 yuan/ton, 562 dollars/ton, 5600 yuan/ton, 6860 yuan/ton, and 8800 yuan/ton [2]. - Mid - stream: For LL, the current price ranges in the East China, North China, and South China markets were 7250 - 7750 yuan/ton, 7200 - 7450 yuan/ton, and 7400 - 7750 yuan/ton respectively. For PP, the current price ranges in the East China, North China, and South China markets were 7000 - 7150 yuan/ton, 6900 - 7050 yuan/ton, and 6950 - 7150 yuan/ton respectively [2]. News - On Friday (August 15), the settlement price of WTI crude oil futures for September 2025 on the New York Mercantile Exchange was $62.80 per barrel, down $1.16 or 1.81% from the previous trading day, with a trading range of $62.68 - $64.15. The settlement price of Brent crude oil futures for October 2025 on the London Intercontinental Exchange was $65.85 per barrel, down $0.99 or 1.48% from the previous trading day, with a trading range of $65.73 - $67.06 [2].
申万期货品种策略日报:聚烯烃(LL、PP)-20250818
Shen Yin Wan Guo Qi Huo·2025-08-18 02:52