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联想集团(00992):FY2026Q1业绩点评:业绩稳健增长,有望持续受益于AI发展
Soochow Securities·2025-08-18 03:18

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Lenovo Group (00992.HK) [1] Core Views - Lenovo Group's FY2026 Q1 performance shows robust growth, with revenue reaching $18.83 billion, a year-on-year increase of 21.9% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 10.9%. Net profit attributable to shareholders was $510 million, up 107.6% year-on-year and 462.2% quarter-on-quarter. All three core business segments (IDG, ISG, SSG) achieved double-digit year-on-year growth, indicating strong performance [7] - The company is expected to continue benefiting from the AI development trend, with projections for net profit attributable to shareholders for FY2026, FY2027, and FY2028 at $1.63 billion, $1.80 billion, and $2.01 billion respectively. The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for FY2026, FY2027, and FY2028 are projected to be 10.5, 9.5, and 8.5 times respectively [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For FY2024A, total revenue is projected at $56.895 billion, with a year-on-year decrease of 8.16%. For FY2025A, revenue is expected to rise to $69.077 billion, a 21.41% increase. By FY2026E, revenue is forecasted to reach $75.558 billion, reflecting a 9.38% growth [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be $1.011 billion for FY2024A, increasing to $1.384 billion for FY2025A (up 37.01%), and further to $1.630 billion for FY2026E (up 17.73%) [1] Business Segments - IDG segment revenue reached $13.5 billion in FY2026 Q1, growing 18% year-on-year, with a strong operating profit margin of 7.1%. The PC revenue grew by 20%, marking the fastest growth in 15 quarters, with a global market share of 24.6% [7] - ISG segment revenue was $4.3 billion in FY2026 Q1, up 36% year-on-year, with AI infrastructure business doubling in growth. Cloud and enterprise infrastructure revenues grew by 36% and 35% respectively [7] - SSG segment revenue hit a record high of $2.3 billion in FY2026 Q1, growing 20% year-on-year, with an operating profit margin of 22.2% [7]