申万公用环保周报：7月我国发电增速加快，全球气价回落-20250818

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the power and environmental sectors, highlighting investment opportunities in various companies within these industries [2]. Core Insights - In July, thermal and photovoltaic power generation were the main contributors to the increase in electricity production, with total electricity generation reaching 926.7 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 3.1% [7][9]. - Global natural gas supply and demand are widening, leading to a decline in prices, with significant attention on geopolitical developments affecting gas prices [19][26]. - The introduction of the CCER methodology for agricultural and forestry biomass projects is expected to significantly enhance project profitability [2]. Summary by Sections 1. Power Sector - In July, thermal power generation was 602 billion kWh, up 4.3% year-on-year, while photovoltaic generation surged by 28.7% to 55.9 billion kWh [9][19]. - The overall electricity production in the first seven months of 2025 was 54,703 billion kWh, reflecting a 1.3% increase compared to the same period in 2024 [15]. - Recommendations include focusing on large hydropower, green energy, nuclear power, and thermal power companies such as Guotou Power, Chuan Investment Energy, and China Nuclear Power [17]. 2. Natural Gas Sector - As of August 15, 2025, the Henry Hub spot price was $2.98/mmBtu, reflecting a weekly decline of 1.75% [19][20]. - The report suggests that the current high inventory levels and weak demand in Europe are contributing to the decline in gas prices [26]. - Investment recommendations include companies like Kunlun Energy and New Hope Energy, which are expected to benefit from lower costs and improved profitability [44]. 3. Environmental Sector - The introduction of the CCER methodology is anticipated to improve the profitability of agricultural and forestry biomass projects, making them a viable alternative to traditional fossil fuels [2]. - The report highlights the potential for high-dividend stocks in the environmental sector, recommending companies such as China Everbright Environment and Hongcheng Environment [17]. 4. Company and Industry Dynamics - The report notes significant developments in the energy sector, including the Gansu Province's new market-oriented pricing reforms for renewable energy projects [52]. - Key company announcements include various financial management strategies and dividend distributions from companies like China Three Gorges Energy and Huadian International [55][56].