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第一创业晨会纪要-20250818
First Capital Securities·2025-08-18 04:32

Macro Economic Group - In July, the industrial added value of above-scale enterprises in China grew by 5.7% year-on-year, a decline of 1.1 percentage points from June, while the market expectation was 5.8% [5] - The fixed asset investment growth rate from January to July was 1.6%, significantly below the WIND expectation of 2.7%, and down 2.1 percentage points from the first half of the year [5] - The retail sales of consumer goods in July saw a nominal year-on-year growth of 3.7%, lower than the WIND expectation of 4.9%, and a decrease of 1.1 percentage points from June [6] Industry Comprehensive Group - Guangdong Jiantao Group announced a price increase for copper-clad laminates due to high raw material costs, with prices rising by 10 yuan per sheet, leading to a price increase trend across the PCB and copper-clad laminate industry [9] - Multiple LED packaging companies have announced price hikes of 5%-10% due to rising costs of key materials like gold, silver, and copper, indicating a potential recovery in the LED packaging industry after a period of oversupply [9] Advanced Manufacturing Group - The import of 20 tons of recycled black powder for lithium-ion batteries marks a significant step towards a circular economy in China's battery industry, alleviating some supply pressures in the short term [12] - In July, the production and sales of new energy vehicles reached 1.243 million and 1.262 million units respectively, showing year-on-year growth of 26.3% and 27.4%, indicating a strong market performance [12] Consumer Group - Shengnong Development reported a revenue of 8.856 billion yuan in H1 2025, a slight increase of 0.22% year-on-year, with a net profit of 910 million yuan, reflecting a significant growth of 791.93% [16] - The company’s growth was driven by a decrease in comprehensive meat costs and investment income from acquisitions, alongside a strong performance in retail channels [16]