6 证券研究报告 点评报告 2026 年 1 月 30 日 晨会纪要 核[心Ta观bl点e_：Summary] 第一创业证券研究所 一、产业综合组： 生益科技 600183.SH 和生益电子 688183.SH 公布了 2025 年年度业绩预告，生益 科技预计实现归母净利润 32.5 亿元到 34.5 亿元，同比增加 87%到 98%。生益电 子预计实现归母净利润 14.4 亿元到 15.1 亿元，同比增加 331.03%到 355.88%。 由于生益科技持股生益电子约 63%股权，折算后生益科技 2025 年四季度的覆铜 板业务盈利约 5.8 亿元，同比增长 115%。前三季度同口径测算的覆铜板业务盈 利为 16.8 亿，同比增长约 40%，四季度公司覆铜板业绩增速显著加快。由于覆 铜板行业在 2025 年 12 月份大幅上调价格，因此今年一季度的业绩增幅大概率 会进一步加速。 证书编号：S1080525070001 伟测科技 688372.SH 发布了 2025 年年度业绩预增公告，预计实现归母净利润为 30,000 万元左右，同比增加 133.96%左右。预计实现扣非后净利润为 24,000 万 元左右 ...

6 证券研究报告 点评报告 2026 年 1 月 29 日 晨会纪要 核[心Ta观bl点e_：Summary] 第一创业证券研究所 一、宏观经济组： 分析师：刘笑瑜 证书编号：S1080525070001 电话：0755-23838239 另外 ，对于 5 月份主席任期届满之后的去留还没有任何打算。建议 下一届 美联储主席应远离民选政治，表示美联储独立性这种立法安排已经让美联 储很好地服务于美国；不相信美联储会丧失独立性。 市场方面，从盘后市场看，10 年期美债收益率变化不大，而由于美国财长贝森 特重申强势美元政策并否认干预日元汇率，美元指数涨 0.63%收于 96.35；美股 邮箱：liuxiaoyu@fcsc.com 事件： 1 月 29 日（星期四）3 点，美联储公开市场委员会（FOMC）2026 年第 1 次议息 会议。 点评： 美联储公布了 2026 年的第 1 份利率决议,决定将联邦基金利率区间维持在 3.5-3.75%区间不变，符合市场预期，这是美联储去年 9 月重启降息以来首次暂 停降息，投票结果显示，有投票权的 12 位 FOMC 委员中 10 票赞成，2 票反对， 反对者是美联储理事沃勒和 ...

6 证券研究报告 点评报告 2026 年 1 月 27 日 晨会纪要 核[心Ta观bl点e_：Summary] 一、产业综合组： 瑞芯微 603893.SH 发布了 2025 年年度业绩预告，预计 2025 年营业收入 43.9 亿 元到 44.3 亿元，同比增长 39.88%到 41.15%，实现归属于母公司所有者的净利 润约 10.2 亿元到 11 亿元，同比增加 71.97%到 85.42%。按预测中值测算四季度 收入约 12.65 亿元，同比增长 29.6%，归属母公司净利润 2.83 亿元，同比增长 约 16.6%。第四季度的收入和净利润增长速度明显低于前三季度的累计增速，主 要原因在于 2025 年端侧 AI 技术创新在重塑各行各业电子产品、为用户带来全 新体验，各类新兴智能硬件层出不穷，千行百业的 AIoT 迈入高速发展周期推动 了全年的业绩增长，但是去年三季度以来受 DDR 缺货、涨价影响，部分客户存 储方案转型导致短期增放缓。虽然公司在方案上做了改进，但是存储的持续上 涨还是使得四季度的收入增速即使较三季度有回升，但增速仍低于去年前三季 度水平。 九安医疗 002432.SZ 发布了 202 ...

Group 1: AI Industry Insights - Baidu and Tencent are launching cash red envelope promotions to boost AI application usage during the Spring Festival, with Baidu offering 500 million yuan and Tencent 1 billion yuan in total rewards, potentially increasing AI application frequency across the industry [2] - The NAND flash memory prices have surged over 100% in Q1 2026, exceeding market expectations, as Samsung Electronics has completed supply contract negotiations, indicating a strong recovery in the storage industry [3] Group 2: Company Performance Forecasts - Sitway (688213.SH) expects 2025 revenue between 8.8 billion to 9.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 47% to 54%, with net profit projected at approximately 980 million to 1.03 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 149% to 162% [4] - Bailong Chuangyuan reported a 2025 revenue of 1.379 billion yuan, up 19.75% year-on-year, and a net profit of 366 million yuan, up 48.94%, driven by product structure optimization and high-margin product prioritization [10] - Qingsong Co. forecasts 2025 revenue of about 2.22 billion yuan, a 14% increase, with net profit expected to grow 1.4 to 2 times, attributed to a strategic focus on high-margin cosmetics ODM business [11] - Rongjie Health anticipates a net profit of 75 to 88 million yuan in 2025, representing a growth of 60% to 88%, driven by the strong performance of health products, particularly high-margin infrared therapy sauna rooms [12]

6 证券研究报告 点评报告 2026 年 1 月 23 日 晨会纪要 核[心Ta观bl点e_：Summary] 一、产业综合组： 盛美上海 688082.SH 发布了关于自愿披露 2025 年度经营业绩及 2026 年度经营 业绩预测的公告，初步测算 2025 年实现营业收入 668,000 万元–688,000 万元， 同比增长 18.91%–22.47%。同时公司综合近年来的业务发展趋势，以及目前的 订单等多方面情况，预计2026年全年的营业收入将在人民币82.00亿元至 88.00 亿元之间，按此测算的同比增长速度为 22.7%~28%，较 2025 年收入增速进一步 加速。可见国内半导体扩产的趋势已经开始体现在订单上。由于 AI 需求驱动芯 片更加侧重封装技术，会对公司的铜工艺设备带来较大的需求，因此我们继续 看好公司业绩的持续增长。 睿创微纳 688002.SH 公布了 2025 年年度业绩预增公告，预计 2025 年营业收入 突破 60 亿元，同比增长 40%，实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润约 11 亿元，同 比增加约 93%。按此测算四季度收入超过 20 亿元，同比增长超过 60%，归属母 公司 ...

Group 1: Company Performance - Demingli (001309.SZ) expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of 650 million to 800 million yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 85.42% to 128.21%. The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is projected to be 630 million to 780 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 108.13% to 157.68%. The fourth quarter net profit is estimated at 750 million yuan, showing over 11 times growth year-on-year. The rapid increase in storage prices since the fourth quarter is expected to continue driving high growth in the first half of the year [2] - Jin'an Guoji (002636) forecasts a net profit attributable to shareholders of 280 million to 360 million yuan for 2025, indicating a year-on-year increase of 655.53% to 871.40%. The net profit after excluding non-recurring items is expected to be 250 million to 320 million yuan, with a projected year-on-year growth of 4.5 times. The fourth quarter net profit is anticipated to be 135 million yuan, reflecting over 3.8 times growth year-on-year and nearly 1 time growth quarter-on-quarter. The price increase of ordinary copper-clad laminates is expected to cover the rise in upstream raw material costs, supporting continued growth in performance [3] Group 2: Industry Insights - In the advanced manufacturing sector, the domestic power battery installation volume is expected to redistribute in 2025. CATL leads with 333.57 GWh, capturing 43.42% market share, while BYD follows with 165.77 GWh and 21.58% market share. Both companies together hold 65% of the market, but their market shares have decreased by 1.67% and 3.17%, respectively. This shift reflects structural changes in the industry during rapid expansion, with second-tier manufacturers catching up in key performance indicators [6] - He Sheng New Materials anticipates a net profit of 152 million to 171 million yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 55% to 75%. The growth is driven by the home appliance appearance composite materials business, with no plans for expansion but rather a focus on supply chain management and cost reduction. The company is also making strides in AI chip development, with significant commercial progress expected in 2026 [8]

Macroeconomic Group - The Ministry of Finance announced a fiscal deficit rate of around 4% for 2025, with new government debt expected to reach 11.86 trillion yuan, an increase of 290 billion yuan from the previous year [4] - In 2026, measures will include the continuation of long-term special bonds for infrastructure and new projects, as well as optimizing personal consumption loan policies to lower credit costs for residents and service industry operators [4] - A national-level merger fund is being considered to address "involution" competition and promote a unified national market [5] Industry Comprehensive Group - Japan's Resonac announced a price increase of over 30% for all series of copper-clad laminates and adhesive films starting March 1, 2026, due to tight supply and rising costs [7] - Domestic companies like Dongwei Technology and Chipbond Microelectronics reported over 10-fold growth in Q4 2025, indicating a sustained high demand in the PCB industry [7] - Tongfu Microelectronics expects a net profit of 1.1 to 1.35 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 62.34% to 99.24%, driven by improved capacity utilization and management [8] Advanced Manufacturing Group - Inverter exports reached 839 million USD in December 2025, a year-on-year increase of 26%, with significant contributions from Europe and Africa [10] - The growth in inverter demand is linked to the need for grid stability and flexibility, particularly in regions with high renewable energy penetration [10] Consumer Group - The Ministry of Finance extended tax benefits for community services such as elderly care and childcare from January 1, 2026, to December 31, 2027, which will lower tax burdens for compliant operators [12] - China Duty Free Group plans to acquire DFS's Greater China business for up to 395 million USD, enhancing its brand resources and procurement power in the luxury goods sector [13]

Macro Economic Group - In 2025, GDP growth is projected to be 5%, consistent with 2024, while Q4 GDP growth is 4.5%, down 0.3 percentage points from Q3 [4] - The industrial added value in December increased by 5.2% year-on-year, exceeding the market expectation of 4.9% [5] - Fixed asset investment in 2025 is expected to decline by 3.8%, significantly lower than the market forecast of -2.4% [4] Industry Comprehensive Group - Huayi Electronics (688709.SH) forecasts a net profit attributable to shareholders between 213 million to 255 million, representing a year-on-year growth of 74.35% to 108.73% [9] - Dinglong Co., Ltd. (300054.SZ) anticipates a net profit of 700 million to 730 million, with a year-on-year increase of 34.44% to 40.20%, driven by strong growth in semiconductor materials [10] Advanced Manufacturing Group - Gansu has publicly announced key parameters for capacity compensation, indicating a storage capacity electricity price of 137.9 yuan/(KW·year) [12] - The new compensation mechanism is expected to reduce uncertainty in storage project returns and promote a new cycle of storage demand release across the country [12] Consumer Group - Shaanxi Tourism, a leader in the "scenic area + cultural tourism" integration, has shown strong profitability but has provided guidance for a decline in 2025 performance due to normalization of visitor flow and extreme weather disturbances [16]

Group 1: Company Performance - Shenghong Technology (300476.SZ) announced a 2025 profit forecast with a net profit attributable to shareholders expected to be between 4.16 billion to 4.56 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 260.35% to 295.00. The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses is projected to be between 4.15 billion to 4.55 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 263.59% to 298.64. The fourth quarter net profit is expected to be 1.115 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 186% [2] - Lanke Technology (688008.SH) reported a 2025 profit forecast with a net profit attributable to shareholders expected to be between 2.15 billion to 2.35 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 52.29% to 66.46. The net profit after excluding non-recurring gains and losses is projected to be between 1.92 billion to 2.12 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 53.81% to 69.83. The growth is driven by the booming AI industry and increased shipment of interconnect chips [3] Group 2: Automotive Industry - The retail sales of passenger cars in December 2025 decreased by 14.2% year-on-year, with electric vehicle sales showing a slight increase of 2.7%. However, the overall market is experiencing a downward trend due to high base effects. In January 2026, the market further cooled, with retail sales of passenger cars down 32% year-on-year and electric vehicle sales down 38%. The industry is facing a significant decline in orders, with some electric vehicle manufacturers experiencing over a 50% drop in orders [6] - The tightening of policies and consumer hesitation have led to a clear downward trend in the automotive market. The shift in policies regarding trade-in and scrapping has impacted both the mass market and the electric vehicle segment. Car manufacturers are responding by launching limited-time promotions and focusing on product and technology upgrades, with significant upgrades expected to begin after the Spring Festival [6] Group 3: Consumer Sector - In December, China's yarn, clothing, and footwear export values saw a widening decline compared to November, with clothing exports still in an adjustment phase. The core reason is the increased confidence of downstream customers in Southeast Asian production capacities following U.S. tariff policies, leading to cautious ordering from domestic factories. Vietnamese exports of clothing and footwear have shown improvement compared to October and November [8] - In the online home appliance market, December saw a broad decline in sales across various categories. The overall performance of major appliances like refrigerators and washing machines was under pressure, while black appliances showed better price resilience compared to white appliances. There is a need to be cautious about the performance pressure stemming from weak terminal demand [8]

Macro Economic Group - In December, M2 growth was 8.5%, exceeding Wind's expectation of 7.9% and up from 8.0% in November. M1 growth was 3.8%, matching expectations but down from 4.9% in November, indicating a slowdown in money velocity [4] - The total social financing (TSF) in December grew by 8.3%, slightly above the expected 8.2% but down from 8.5% in November. The TSF increment was 2.21 trillion yuan, surpassing the expected 1.82 trillion yuan but down from 2.49 trillion yuan year-on-year [4] - Bank credit in December increased by 910 billion yuan, exceeding the expected 679.4 billion yuan and up from 390 billion yuan in the previous month. However, it was down 800 billion yuan year-on-year [5] Industry Comprehensive Group - Siyi Electric (002028.SZ) reported a revenue of 21.2 billion yuan for 2025, a 37.2% year-on-year increase, with Q4 revenue reaching 7.38 billion yuan, up 46.1%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.16 billion yuan, a 54.4% increase, exceeding market expectations [12] - Guanghe Technology (001389.SZ) forecasted a net profit of 980 million to 1.02 billion yuan for 2025, a growth of 45% to 50.8%. The Q4 net profit was estimated at 280 million yuan, a 50.4% increase, driven by strong demand for server PCB boards [13] Advanced Manufacturing Group - The UK AR7 offshore wind auction resulted in 8.4GW of capacity, exceeding expectations and marking a historical high. This sets the stage for significant supply chain orders in the coming years, with a peak delivery expected between 2028 and 2030 [15] - The State Grid has confirmed a total investment of 4 trillion yuan for the 14th Five-Year Plan, a 40% increase from the previous plan, focusing on accelerating ultra-high voltage construction and enhancing supply chain capabilities [16] Consumer Group - The Financial Regulatory Bureau emphasized the need for financial support to boost consumption and investment, particularly in sectors like real estate, healthcare, and small businesses. This is expected to benefit consumer sectors such as automobiles and home appliances [18] - Juzhi Bio's second collagen medical device has been approved, enhancing the focus on the collagen market, which is gaining traction in aesthetic and skin repair applications [19] - Liufeng Group reported a same-store sales growth of 15% for Q4 2025, driven by increased customer flow and product pricing strategies, indicating strong growth momentum [19]