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火电、风光发电量增速提升,水电电量降幅扩大环保公用事业行业周报(2025/08/17)-20250818
CMS·2025-08-18 05:37

Investment Rating - The industry maintains a "Recommendation" rating [2] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights a divergence in performance within the environmental and public utility sectors, with the environmental index rising by 1.72% while the public utility index fell by 0.55% [5][22] - The report emphasizes the increase in electricity demand, particularly in Eastern China, with a record peak load of 1.465 billion kilowatts, supporting a year-on-year growth in electricity demand [5][9] - Key recommendations include focusing on companies like Sheneng Co., and long-term prospects for Guodian Power and China Resources Power, while also suggesting attention to Zhongmin Energy and Funiu Co. [5][9] Summary by Sections Key Event Interpretations - In July, national electricity generation reached 926.7 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 3.1%, with thermal and wind power generation growth accelerating while hydropower generation saw a decline [9][19] - The Ministry of Ecology and Environment is set to release the third batch of CCER methodologies, which will promote the utilization of agricultural and forestry biomass energy [19][20] Market Review - The environmental sector has seen a cumulative increase of 15.44% in 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index, while the electricity sector has declined by 0.99% [5][22] - The report notes that the coal price has rebounded, with Qinhuangdao 5500 kcal thermal coal priced at 700 RMB/ton, a 1.45% increase from the previous week [32] Key Data Tracking - As of August 15, 2025, the water level of the Three Gorges Reservoir was 160.34 meters, up 2.6% year-on-year, while inflow and outflow rates showed mixed trends [34][35] - The price of LNG at the port was reported at 11.41 USD/million BTU (4254 RMB/ton), reflecting a 3.75% decrease from the previous week [47][48] Industry Key Events - The report discusses various regulatory updates, including the implementation of distributed photovoltaic power generation management guidelines in Chongqing and the development of energy transmission channels in Xinjiang [62][63]