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基础化工行业周报:海外特气产能发生不可抗力,国产厂商份额有望提升-20250818
EBSCN·2025-08-18 06:31

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the basic chemical industry [5] Core Viewpoints - The supply of nitrogen trifluoride (NF₃) is expected to tighten due to incidents affecting major overseas suppliers, which may lead to an increase in market prices and a potential rise in market share for domestic manufacturers [2][4][25] - The global market for nitrogen trifluoride is projected to reach $1.783 billion in 2025, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.6% from 2025 to 2033 [25][27] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - A fire at Kanto Denka Kogyo Co., a major supplier of NF₃, has resulted in a production halt for one of its lines, while Mitsui Chemicals has announced its exit from the NF₃ business [1][21][22] - Current domestic production capacity for NF₃ in China is approximately 31,800 tons/year, with planned expansions reaching 46,600 tons/year [2][25][26] 2. Market Dynamics - As of August 15, 2025, the average market price for NF₃ in China is around 80,000 yuan/ton, with expectations for price increases due to supply shortages [2][27] - The demand for NF₃ is anticipated to rise significantly, driven by growth in the semiconductor and display panel industries [25][27] 3. Key Companies to Watch - Companies with NF₃ or other electronic specialty gas products include China Shipbuilding Special Gas, Nanda Optoelectronics, and Huahua Technology [4][35] - In the context of increasing importance of domestic semiconductor supply chains, attention is also drawn to companies producing semiconductor materials beyond electronic specialty gases [4][35] 4. Price Trends - Recent price increases have been noted in various chemical products, with NF₃ expected to follow suit due to supply constraints [18][19][27] - The report highlights the performance of the basic chemical sector, with a notable increase in stock prices for key companies in the past week [9][15]