Zhejiang Yonghe Refrigerant (SH:605020) Great Wall Securities·2025-08-18 10:32Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with expectations of a stock price increase of over 15% relative to the industry index in the next six months [4][19]. Core Views - The report highlights that the company's profitability has significantly improved due to rising refrigerant prices and the gradual ramp-up of production capacity at Shaowu Yonghe. The company achieved a revenue of 2.445 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 12.39%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 271 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 140.82% [1][2]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue Growth: The company's revenue is projected to grow from 4.369 billion yuan in 2023 to 6.924 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.1% [1][10]. - Net Profit: The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to rise from 184 million yuan in 2023 to 1.024 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a significant growth rate of 18.9% [1][10]. - Earnings Per Share (EPS): The EPS is forecasted to increase from 0.39 yuan in 2023 to 2.18 yuan in 2027 [1][10]. - Return on Equity (ROE): The ROE is expected to improve from 7.0% in 2023 to 20.0% in 2027 [1][10]. Product and Market Dynamics - The company has benefited from favorable quota policies in the refrigerant sector, leading to an optimized supply-demand structure and increased product prices. The average selling prices for fluorocarbon chemicals, fluoropolymer materials, and chemical raw materials in the first half of 2025 were 30,200 yuan/ton, 42,600 yuan/ton, and 1,800 yuan/ton, respectively, showing year-on-year increases of 33.33%, 1.83%, and a decrease of 6.45% [2][9]. - The company has seen a continuous improvement in production efficiency and product quality, particularly in its fluoropolymer materials, contributing to its profitability [2][9]. Capacity and Future Outlook - The company is focusing on optimizing its product structure and enhancing production efficiency. Current projects include the construction of new environmentally friendly refrigerant and fluoropolymer production bases, which will support sustainable business development [9]. - The report anticipates that the company will continue to explore new profit growth areas in fourth-generation refrigerants, electronic immersion cooling liquids, and high-end fluorine fine chemicals [10].