Industry Investment Rating - The investment rating for the construction materials industry is "Outperform the Market" and is maintained [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights the potential benefits from the reconstruction of Ukraine, with an estimated total cost of approximately $524 billion, which is nearly three times Ukraine's GDP for 2024. Key areas of investment include housing ($84 billion), transportation ($78 billion), energy ($68 billion), industrial and commercial sectors ($64 billion), and agriculture ($55 billion) [3]. - The report emphasizes the competitive advantages of domestic international engineering companies in Ukraine's post-war reconstruction, despite the U.S. leading the efforts. Companies such as China Communications Construction Company, China Chemical Engineering, China National Materials, and China Steel International are noted as potential beneficiaries [4]. - In the cement sector, a policy to limit overproduction is expected to enhance capacity utilization, with a forecasted recovery in demand and price increases starting in August [4]. - The glass industry is facing a downward trend in demand due to real estate impacts, with supply-demand imbalances persisting. However, the report anticipates that environmental regulations will accelerate the industry's cold repair processes [4]. - The fiberglass sector is experiencing growth driven by demand from the AI industry, with expectations for a significant increase in both volume and price [5]. - The consumer building materials sector is projected to see a recovery in profitability, with price increases across various categories such as waterproofing, coatings, and gypsum boards [5]. Summary by Sections Cement - The national cement market price is stabilizing, but demand remains low due to seasonal factors, with July's production down 5.6% year-on-year to 146 million tons [9]. Glass - Glass prices continue to decline, with regional prices dropping by 1-4% per weight box. The report predicts ongoing price fluctuations due to limited demand improvement [14]. Company Announcements - Three companies reported their mid-year results: - Sanhe Building Materials: Revenue of 5.816 billion yuan, up 0.97% year-on-year, with net profit increasing by 107.53% [17]. - Puyang Refractories: Revenue of 2.79 billion yuan, up 3.6% year-on-year, but net profit down 48.3% [18]. - Tianan New Materials: Revenue of 1.444 billion yuan, up 3.97% year-on-year, with net profit increasing by 16.59% [17].
建材行业报告(2025.08.11-2025.08.17):俄乌冲突有望结束,关注乌克兰重建受益标的
China Post Securities·2025-08-18 10:31