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航空行业7月数据点评:暑运旺季过半,运力运量保持增长
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-08-18 14:15

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the aviation industry, indicating a "Look Favorably" rating for the sector [2][4]. Core Insights - The summer travel season has seen a steady increase in both capacity and passenger volume, with domestic flights up by 2.2% and international flights up by 14.1% year-on-year [4]. - The average daily aircraft utilization in July was 8.8 hours, reflecting a 13% increase month-on-month and a 0.6% increase year-on-year [4]. - The report highlights that the demand for air travel remains strong, with airlines increasing capacity to meet this demand [4]. Summary by Sections Capacity and Passenger Volume - In July, the overall capacity (ASK) increased by 3.5% year-on-year, with domestic passenger volume rising by 2.0% and international passenger volume increasing by 13.1% [4]. - The report provides detailed statistics for major airlines, showing varied growth rates in capacity and passenger turnover [5]. Airline Performance - Six listed airlines showed different performance metrics in July, with China Eastern Airlines and Spring Airlines leading in capacity growth [4]. - The report notes that Spring Airlines continues to have the highest passenger load factor at 91.9% [4]. Domestic and International Markets - The domestic market shows a balanced growth in supply and demand, with significant increases in capacity and passenger volume for China Eastern Airlines and Southern Airlines [4]. - In the international market, airlines have significantly increased capacity, with China Eastern Airlines and Spring Airlines recovering to pre-pandemic levels [4]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a continued positive outlook for the aviation sector, with expectations of a gradual increase in passenger volume and load factors over the next 3-5 years [4]. - Recommended stocks include China National Aviation, Spring Airlines, and China Eastern Airlines, among others, based on their strong performance and growth potential [7].