农产品日报：油厂压榨率回升，豆粕宽幅震荡-20250819

Group 1: Report Investment Ratings - The investment strategy for the粕类 sector is neutral [3] - The investment strategy for the corn sector is cautiously bearish [5] Group 2: Core Views - The current domestic soybean supply remains abundant with no significant changes in the fundamentals However, the results of the recent anti - dumping investigation on rapeseed at the policy level have a significant impact on the prices of粕类 Meanwhile, there is still no obvious progress in Sino - US trade policies, and future developments are uncertain The Brazilian premium remains strong, providing support at the cost end [2] - In the domestic corn market, the channel inventories in the Northeast and North China regions are relatively low, and traders are more willing to sell The demand from deep - processing enterprises is stable with decreasing inventories Feed enterprises have reduced their corn positions and mainly make sporadic purchases The new wheat usage is stable Overall, there is insufficient upward momentum in prices, and the market is focused on the arrival of new grain [4] Group 3: Market News and Important Data (粕类) - Futures: The closing price of the豆粕2509 contract was 3155 yuan/ton, up 18 yuan/ton (+0.57%) from the previous day; the菜粕2509 contract was 2590 yuan/ton, up 44 yuan/ton (+1.73%) [1] - Spot: In Tianjin, the豆粕 spot price was 3090 yuan/ton, up 20 yuan/ton; in Jiangsu, it was 2990 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan/ton; in Guangdong, it was 2970 yuan/ton, up 30 yuan/ton In Fujian, the菜粕 spot price was 2770 yuan/ton, up 150 yuan/ton [1] - Market news: In July, NOPA member companies crushed 195.699 million bushels of soybeans, a month - on - month increase of 5.6% and a year - on - year increase of 7% The crushing volume reached a six - month high and the highest level for July in NOPA records [1] Group 4: Market News and Important Data (Corn) - Futures: The closing price of the corn2509 contract was 2177 yuan/ton, down 13 yuan/ton (-0.59%); the corn starch2509 contract was 2594 yuan/ton, down 20 yuan/ton (-0.77%) [3] - Spot: In Liaoning, the corn spot price was 2150 yuan/ton, unchanged; in Jilin, the corn starch spot price was 2730 yuan/ton, unchanged [3] - Market news: As of August 13, 2024/25, Argentina had harvested 46.73 million tons of corn, with a progress of 94.6% and an average yield of 7.21 tons per hectare [3]