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特步国际(01368):上半年净利润增长22%,专业运动盈利能力显著提升
Guoxin Securities·2025-08-19 07:01

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][32][34] Core Views - The company reported a 7.1% year-on-year revenue growth to 6.84 billion RMB and a 21.5% increase in net profit to 910 million RMB for the first half of 2025, driven by improved profitability in ongoing operations and reduced losses from the divestment of KP [1][9] - The main brand showed steady growth with a 4.5% increase in revenue to 6.05 billion RMB, while the professional sports brands (Saucony and Merrell) experienced a significant 32.5% revenue growth to 790 million RMB [2][22] - The company is focusing on Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) strategies, planning to open 100-200 DTC stores in 2025 and a total of 300-400 by 2026, with a capital expenditure of approximately 400 million RMB [3][31] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 6.84 billion RMB, with a net profit of 910 million RMB, reflecting a 22% increase in net profit [1][9] - The gross margin remained stable, with a slight decrease of 0.1 percentage points year-on-year [1][14] - The company plans to distribute an interim dividend of 0.18 HKD per share, maintaining a payout ratio of 50% [1][16] Brand Performance - The main brand's revenue grew by 4.5% to 6.05 billion RMB, with e-commerce channel revenue increasing by double digits [2][21] - The professional sports segment saw a revenue increase of 32.5% to 790 million RMB, with a significant improvement in operating profit margin [2][22] Market Strategy - The company is enhancing channel management and implementing a DTC strategy to adapt to market changes, which may have a short-term impact on revenue and profit margins but is expected to benefit long-term growth [3][31] - The focus on the running category is anticipated to drive steady growth for the main brand, while professional sports brands are expected to maintain rapid growth and improve profitability [32][34] Financial Projections - The company forecasts net profits of 1.4 billion RMB, 1.49 billion RMB, and 1.6 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 13.2%, 5.9%, and 7.7% [32][33] - The reasonable valuation range is set at 6.1 to 6.6 HKD, corresponding to a PE ratio of 11-12x for 2025 [32][34]