Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - CFAMCI's 1H25 net profit is expected to increase up to 16.3% yoy to RMB6.2bn, with growth mainly due to core business revenue increase, financing cost reduction, and despite asset impairment charges. The higher net profit is expected to boost capital adequacy and lower the leverage ratio. CFAMCIs remain top picks in the Chinese AMC space [7][8][9] - Hongqiao announced a buy - back of 10.2mn shares, which is positive for its CBs and largely neutral for straight bonds. The company maintains a neutral stance on HONGQIs based on valuation [12] Summary by Directory Trading Desk Comments - Asia IG space was unchanged to 3bps tighter yesterday. In Chinese IG, WB 30s tightened by 2bps, TENCNT 38 - 51s/HAOHUA 30/49 were 1bp tighter. Korea IG HYNMTR/LGENSO belly was 1 - 3bps tighter. In financials, HK CHIYBK 32 was 0.4pt higher, JP MUFG 44s were 0.6pt lower. TH banks were unchanged to 2bps tighter. There were small selling on BBLTB 34/40s T2 and better buying on BBLTB senior. STANLN 36s were 2bps wider. In lifers, SHIKON 35 was 1 - 2bp tighter, TYANLI 35 was 0.1pt lower. In HK, CTFSHK 29 was 1.6pt higher, NWDEVL 5.25 Perp/6.25 Perp were 0.3 - 0.4pt higher, HYSAN 4.85 Perp up 0.7pt. In Chinese HY, BTSDF 28 down 0.4pt, WESCHI 26 was 0.1pt lower. In Chinese properties, CHJMAO 29 and CHJMAO Perp were 0.1 - 0.6pt higher, LNGFOR 28/32 were 0.1 - 0.2pt lower, ROADKG 29 - 30 and ROADKG Perps down 0.2pt. In SEA, VLLPM 27 - 29s were 0.2 - 0.9pt higher, VEDLN 29 - 33s were 0.1 - 0.2pt higher, GLPSP Perps down 0.3 - 0.6pt [2] - This morning, the belly of HYNMTR were 2 - 3bps tighter. There were selling in STANLNs, JP lifers/HYSAN/CPREIT. HYSAN 4.85 Perp down 0.7pt, CDBFLC 30 was 1 - 2bps wider, NWDEVL 30 was 0.3pt higher. CFAMCI: 1H25 net profit to increase up to 16.3% yoy to RMB6.2bn, CFAMCI 5.5 47 down 0.5pt this morning while the rest were unchanged. HONGQI: Buy - back of 10.2mn shares, HONGQI 7.05 28 down 0.1pt this morning [3] Top Performers and Underperformers - Top Performers: CTFSHK 4 1/4 06/27/29 up 1.6, TENCNT 3.68 04/22/41 up 1.0, VLLPM 9 3/8 07/29/29 up 0.9, HYSAN 4.85 PERP up 0.7, CHJMAO 4 1/4 07/23/29 up 0.6 [4] - Top Underperformers: GARUDA 6 1/2 12/28/31 down 1.4, TSIVMG 1.55 12/17/29 down 1.0, TAISEM 3 1/8 10/25/41 down 0.6, GLPSP 4.6 PERP down 0.6, MUFG 4.7 03/10/44 down 0.6 [4] Macro News Recap - Macro: S&P (-0.01%), Dow (-0.08%), and Nasdaq (+0.03%) were mixed on Monday. UST yield was higher, with 2/5/10/30 yield at 3.77%/3.86%/4.34%/4.94% [6] Desk Analyst Comments - CFAMCI's 1H25 net profit growth is due to core business revenue increase, financing cost reduction, and despite asset impairment charges. The company's focus on high - quality investments and diverse funding channels support profit growth, and the higher net profit is expected to boost capital adequacy and lower the leverage ratio [7][8] - The company maintains a buy on CCAMCL 4.4 Perp and a neutral stance on GRWALL 7.15 Perp. It prefers CFAMCI 3.875 11/13/29, CFAMCI 3.375 02/24/30, and CFAMCI 3.625 09/30/30 within the CFAMCI curve [9] Hongqiao Analysis - Hongqiao announced a buy - back of 10.2mn shares for cHKD234mn, with a latest mandate of no less than HKD3bn. The buy - back aims to minimize dilution as its o/s USD300mn CB due Jan'26 will be converted into shares. It is positive for CBs and largely neutral for straight bonds. The company maintains a neutral stance on HONGQIs [12] Offshore Asia New Issues - Priced: DBS Bank issued USD2000mn with a 3 - year tenor at 3.989%, Zhangzhou Yuanshan Development issued USD22mn with a 3 - year tenor at 7.0% [13] - Pipeline: Ganzhou Urban Investment Holding plans a 3 - year issue at 5.4%, Tongling State - owned Capital Operation Holding Group plans a 3 - year issue at 5.1% [14] News and Market Color - Onshore primary issuances: 97 credit bonds were issued yesterday with an amount of RMB69bn. Month - to - date, 1,208 credit bonds were issued with a total amount of RMB1,081bn, a 0.2% yoy decrease - Other news: COGARD extended RSA fee deadlines, FUTLAN/FTLNHD obtained bourse approval for onshore ABS offering, HYSAN completed the redemption of USD850mn HYSAN 4.1 Perp, HYUELE repaid KRW3.4tn loans, LGELEC started a voluntary retirement program [15] - Other corporate news: NIO to expand into Singapore, Uzbekistan, and Costa Rica; PTTGC eyes THB30bn from non - core assets monetization; Rakuten to start satellite - based services; Road King's loss to widen; SoftBank to acquire a stake in Intel; Tongyang Life to redeem USD300mn TYANLI 5.25 Perp; Vedanta Ltd to consider second interim dividend; Hindustan Zinc to set up a tailings reprocessing plant [21]
固定收益部市场日报-20250819
Zhao Yin Guo Ji·2025-08-19 07:19