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地方支持性措施持续出台,新房成交量持续同比下跌

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the real estate sector, particularly favoring quality state-owned and local state-owned developers [8][45]. Core Insights - The new housing transaction volume in 30 major cities reached 1.23 million square meters, a year-on-year decline of 15.5%, which is worse than the previous week's decline of 12.3% [1][15]. - The cumulative transaction volume of new homes in Beijing for the year so far is 3.25 million square meters, down 5.4% year-on-year, slightly better than the previous week's decline of 5.6% [2][18]. - The land transaction volume in 100 major cities fell to 7.35 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 66.4% [4][33]. - The ratio of inventory to sales for commercial housing in major cities increased to 121.5, up from 98.7 a year ago [3][27]. Summary by Sections New Housing Transactions - The new housing transaction volume in 30 major cities was 1.23 million square meters, down 15.5% year-on-year and down 4.9% month-on-month [1][15]. - The year-on-year changes for first, second, and third-tier cities were -26.8%, -12.1%, and -4.9% respectively [1][15]. Cumulative Transactions in Major Cities - Beijing's cumulative transaction volume for new homes is 3.25 million square meters, down 5.4% year-on-year [2][18]. - Shanghai's cumulative volume is 6.71 million square meters, down 1.5% year-on-year [2][18]. - Guangzhou's cumulative volume is 4.51 million square meters, up 12.4% year-on-year [2][18]. - Shenzhen's cumulative volume is 1.81 million square meters, up 6.3% year-on-year [2][18]. Land Transactions - The land transaction volume in 100 major cities was 7.35 million square meters, down 66.4% year-on-year and down 66.8% month-on-month [4][33]. - First-tier cities saw a 52.0% year-on-year decline in land transaction volume [4][33]. Policy Support Measures - Various regions have introduced supportive measures for the real estate market, including adjustments to housing fund withdrawal policies [5][40]. - The government is expected to continue implementing strong measures to stabilize the real estate market [8][45]. Market Performance - The Hang Seng China Mainland Property Index rose 5.3% last week, outperforming the broader Hang Seng Index by 3.6 percentage points [7][43]. - The report highlights specific stocks to watch, including China Resources Land (1109 HK) and Yuexiu Property (123 HK) [9][46].