Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [6][7]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a ride-hailing platform under Geely Group, focusing on customized vehicle fleets and actively participating in the Robotaxi layout. It is expected to achieve a net profit of -1.05 billion, -0.08 billion, and 0.73 billion RMB from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding net profit margins of -5%, 0%, and 2% [6][7]. - The company is experiencing rapid revenue growth, with a projected revenue increase from 10.67 billion RMB in 2023 to 29.93 billion RMB in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 39.8% [5][6]. - The Robotaxi business is anticipated to contribute significantly to future profitability, with a potential gross margin exceeding 40% by 2030, driven by reduced driver costs [6][7]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, established in 2015 and backed by Geely Group, aims to create a shared ecosystem for new energy vehicles. It has expanded its operations to include ride-hailing services, vehicle sales, and rentals [6][15]. - The company has achieved a market share of 5.4% in the ride-hailing industry, ranking second, and is expanding into lower-tier cities [6][47]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue is expected to grow significantly, with estimates of 10.67 billion RMB in 2023, 14.66 billion RMB in 2024, and reaching 20.51 billion RMB in 2025 [5][6]. - The company is projected to reduce its net loss from -1.91 billion RMB in 2023 to -1.05 billion RMB in 2025, with a path to profitability by 2027 [5][6]. Industry Analysis - The shared mobility market in China is expected to grow at a CAGR of 17% from 2025 to 2029, with the market size projected to reach 804.2 billion RMB [6][38]. - The Robotaxi segment is entering a phase of commercialization, with significant market potential as technology advances towards higher levels of automation [6][54]. Competitive Advantages - The company leverages a customized vehicle fleet strategy, enhancing service quality and optimizing cost control. The first-generation model, Maple 80V, and the second-generation model, Cao Cao 60, are designed specifically for ride-hailing services, offering competitive total cost of ownership (TCO) [6][63][66]. - The integration with Geely Group provides a comprehensive ecosystem that supports vehicle design, manufacturing, and operational efficiency, creating a competitive barrier [6][21].
曹操出行（02643）：网约车运营扭亏在即 ROBOTAXI贡献高成长性及期权属性