近期A股港股背离原因分析，关注负面预期Pricein后港股的后续布局机会：你追我赶，共迎牛市

Core Insights - The report indicates that the recent underperformance of Hong Kong stocks compared to A-shares is primarily due to internal consolidation needs after significant prior gains, weak fundamental outlook for heavyweight sectors affected by "price wars," and better marginal liquidity improvement in the A-share market [3][4][5] - As of August 15, 2025, the Hang Seng Index has shown a year-to-date increase of 25.97%, ranking second among major global indices, only behind the Korean Composite Index's 34.43% [4][5] - The report suggests that the current market environment remains favorable for Hong Kong stocks, with potential opportunities for recovery in sectors such as technology and consumer goods, especially as negative expectations have been priced in [3][4][36] Market Analysis - The report highlights that since mid-July, there has been a notable downward adjustment in earnings expectations for the Hang Seng Index, particularly in the internet sector, which has been significantly impacted by intensified "price wars" [4][5][36] - The liquidity environment in the A-share market has improved more significantly than in the Hong Kong market since June, contributing to A-shares outperforming Hong Kong stocks [5][36] - The report emphasizes that the current phase of underperformance in Hong Kong stocks is viewed as a temporary consolidation following rapid prior gains, with a favorable setup for potential investment in heavyweight sectors like technology and consumer goods [4][36] Future Outlook - The report anticipates that the upcoming earnings reports during the Hong Kong mid-year reporting season will reflect the previously priced-in factors, potentially leading to a positive adjustment in market expectations [36] - It notes that the "anti-involution" policies are being implemented, with industry associations and companies advocating for the regulation of low-price subsidies, indicating a shift in the policy and social atmosphere [36] - The report concludes that as the influence of mainland investors on the Hong Kong market continues to grow, the sentiment from the A-share market is likely to transmit to Hong Kong stocks, suggesting a potential for both markets to experience a bull market together [36]