Minmetals Securities·2025-08-20 05:22Investment Rating - The report rates the automotive industry as "Positive" [5] Core Insights - The UK government has reintroduced purchase subsidy policies for electric vehicles, which is expected to increase the penetration rate of pure electric vehicles to 26% [2][20] - Domestic plug-in hybrid vehicle sales have experienced a negative growth for the first time, while commercial vehicles and exports show strong performance [3][40] - The report highlights significant growth in electric vehicle sales in Europe and other regions, with a notable increase in the US market [3][78] Monthly Focus - The UK has launched multiple subsidy policies for electric vehicles, including a purchase subsidy that will provide £3,750 or £1,500 for eligible vehicles starting from July 2025, with a total budget of £650 million [10][14] - The reintroduction of subsidies is driven by the UK's stringent regulations under the "Zero Emission Vehicle Directive," which mandates that 80% of new car sales must be zero-emission vehicles by 2030 [15][20] - The expected impact of the subsidy policy is an increase in the penetration rate of pure electric vehicles from 24% to 26%, benefiting manufacturers with production capabilities in Europe and the UK [2][21] Key Data Tracking - In July, domestic plug-in hybrid vehicle retail sales decreased by 4% year-on-year, marking the first decline since the surge of new energy vehicles [3][35] - Commercial vehicle sales continue to grow at a high rate, with penetration rates exceeding 20% for four consecutive months [40] - Exports of new energy vehicles have maintained high growth since 2025, particularly driven by significant increases in exports from BYD and Chery [47][55] Industry and Company Changes - Major state-owned enterprises in China, such as Changan and FAW Group, have set targets for new energy vehicle sales to exceed 60% by 2030 [4] - New models featuring plug-in hybrid and range-extended technologies have been launched by companies like Zeekr and IM Motors [4] - Collaborations between Huawei and various brands are expected to yield new models, with several set to launch in the near future [4]