能言汇说/澳元伺机买入，上望0.69

Group 1: Economic Indicators - The US Producer Price Index (PPI) rose by 0.9% month-on-month in July, the highest increase in three years, against an expectation of 0.2%[1] - Year-on-year, the PPI increased by 3.3%, surpassing the expected 2.5%[1] - The Australian economy growth forecast for 2023 was downgraded from 2.1% to 1.7%[2] Group 2: Monetary Policy - The US Treasury Secretary indicated that conditions for a rate cut are maturing, suggesting a potential 0.25% cut in September[2] - The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) reduced the cash rate by 0.25% to 3.6%, the lowest in two years, aligning with market expectations[2] - The RBA maintained inflation forecasts at 3% for this year and 2.9% for next year[2] Group 3: Currency Trends - Following the interest rate decision, the Australian dollar (AUD) briefly rose above 0.655 against the US dollar (USD) but later consolidated around 0.649[3] - The AUD is expected to fluctuate between 0.61 and 0.69 against the USD in the second half of the year[3] - If the AUD stabilizes above 0.645, it may present a buying opportunity[3]