Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company with a target price of HKD 29.0, indicating a potential upside of 24% from the current price [4]. Core Insights - The company experienced significant profit growth in the first half of 2025, with revenue reaching RMB 81.039 billion, a year-on-year increase of 10.1%. Gross profit rose to RMB 20.805 billion, up 16.9%, and net profit attributable to shareholders surged by 35.0% to RMB 12.361 billion [2]. - The company's integrated cost advantages are highlighted, with 75.3% of bauxite supply sourced from Guinea, ensuring stable raw material costs. The electrolytic aluminum sales volume was 2.906 million tons, with a gross margin increase of 0.6 percentage points to 25.2% [2]. - The global supply-demand balance for aluminum remains tight, with China's primary aluminum production accounting for approximately 59.7% of global output. The report anticipates that aluminum prices will maintain a range of RMB 20,600 to 21,300 per ton in the second half of 2025 [3]. - The company has committed to a share buyback plan of no less than HKD 3 billion, reflecting management's confidence in future growth and shareholder returns [3]. Financial Summary - The projected revenues for the company from 2025 to 2027 are RMB 156 billion, RMB 161.1 billion, and RMB 167.4 billion, respectively. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be RMB 24.5 billion, RMB 25 billion, and RMB 25.8 billion for the same period [4]. - Key financial metrics include a gross margin of 25.7% and a net margin of 16.7% for the first half of 2025, with basic earnings per share increasing by 36.0% to RMB 1.31 [2].
中国宏桥（01378）：一体化成本优势显著，大额回购彰显信心