航运衍生品数据日报-20250820

Group 1: Shipping Derivatives Data - Present values and previous values of various shipping freight rate indices (SCFI, CCFI, etc.) and their percentage changes are provided, such as SCFI with a present value of 1460, a previous value of 1490, and a decline of 1.98% [5] - Present values, previous values, and changes in contract prices (EC2506, EC2508, etc.), positions, and month - spreads are also presented [5] Group 2: Market News - Hamas has accepted a Gaza cease - fire and hostage agreement proposed by Qatar and Egypt mediators [6] - Trump called Putin during the Ukraine summit at the White House [6] - The US imposed a 50% import tariff on 407 steel and aluminum commodities on August 18 [6] - Asia - Europe route freight rates continue to decline despite "robust" bookings, with available container ship capacity at 30 TBU, about 29% of active capacity [6] - The spill - over effect of US tariff hikes is spreading, hitting Indian exporters with a 50% tariff [6] Group 3: EC Market Analysis - The EC market shows a volatile trend. Maersk's lower quotes and market reactions lead to a short - term price increase, and the 08 contract is strong due to delay - supported slower decline of freight rates [7] - Airlines are accelerating price cuts to maintain market share, and the overall downward trend of spot freight rates is established. The odds of shorting the 10 - contract are relatively low [7] Group 4: Strategy - The strategy is to short the 10 - contract on rallies and conduct a rolling 10 - 12 reverse spread [8]