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医药生物周报(25年第32周):司美格鲁肽MASH适应症获批,用药及检测需求有望提升-20250820
Guoxin Securities·2025-08-20 09:31

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the pharmaceutical and biotechnology sector [5]. Core Insights - The approval of semaglutide for the treatment of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASH) is expected to enhance drug usage and diagnostic demand [2][11]. - MASH has a prevalence rate of 1.5-6.5%, with over 250 million patients globally, and the number of cases is projected to double by 2030 [2][15]. - Non-invasive diagnostic methods are anticipated to experience significant growth with the introduction of new MASH drugs, as they offer better patient compliance and cost-effectiveness compared to invasive procedures [3][30]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The pharmaceutical sector underperformed the overall market, with the biopharmaceutical sector rising by 3.08% [1]. - The current price-to-earnings ratio (TTM) for the pharmaceutical sector is 39.94x, which is at the 82.34th percentile of the past five years [1]. Drug Development and Approval - Semaglutide received FDA approval on August 15, 2025, for treating MASH patients with mid to late-stage liver fibrosis [11]. - Several drugs targeting MASH are in various stages of development, with notable progress from domestic companies like Zhengda Tianqing and Gilead [2][18]. Non-Invasive Diagnostic Methods - Non-invasive methods, such as imaging and blood tests, are expected to become the gold standard for MASH diagnosis as awareness and treatment options improve [3][30]. - FibroScan, developed by Echosens, is highlighted as a leading non-invasive diagnostic tool for liver fibrosis, gaining recognition from multiple health organizations [37][38]. Company Earnings Forecasts - Key companies in the sector, such as Mindray Medical and WuXi AppTec, are projected to maintain strong earnings growth, with PE ratios decreasing over the forecast period [4].