Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Add" rating for the company [2] Core Views - The company leverages shipping resources from its major shareholder to enhance port and shipping synergy, while expanding its global asset layout, particularly moving from the Northern Hemisphere to the Southern Hemisphere [1][6] - The company operates and manages 375 berths across 39 ports globally, with a total throughput of 140 million TEU in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 6.1% [6][19] - The company has a strong focus on high-margin mature assets in domestic markets, contributing over 80% of total profits [30][61] Summary by Sections 1. Global Layout and Asset Acquisition - The company is a core platform for global port operations under the COSCO Shipping Group, focusing on building a comprehensive network of coastal and overseas hub ports [12] - The company has established long-term partnerships in key domestic regions and is expanding its overseas strategic layout in Europe, Southeast Asia, the Middle East, and Latin America [12][19] 2. Domestic High-Margin Asset Focus - The company’s domestic operations are concentrated in the Bohai Rim and Pearl River Delta regions, with significant contributions from investments in Qingdao International and Tianjin Container Terminal [58][61] - The domestic port assets maintain a higher gross margin compared to overseas assets, with the gross margin for domestic terminals at 35.8% in Q1 2025 [39][61] 3. Global Expansion and Shipping Resource Empowerment - The company has rich experience in overseas acquisitions, primarily focusing on European hub ports and greenfield projects in the Middle East, with plans to expand into emerging markets in South America and Southeast Asia [6][22] - The proportion of container volume from Ocean Alliance customers has increased from 51.8% in 2017 to 54.6% in 2024, indicating a strengthening of global partnerships [6][22] 4. Financial Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company’s revenue is projected to grow steadily, with total revenue expected to reach 11.36 billion RMB in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5% [7] - The report forecasts net profits for 2025-2027 to be 2.44 billion, 2.64 billion, and 2.83 billion RMB respectively, with a corresponding PE ratio of 8.9x for 2025 [7][6]
中远海运港口（01199）：航运资源赋能外延收购，全球化布局持续推进